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Do we still have a chance to take the senate (Original Post) I_UndergroundPanther Nov 2020 OP
Possible runoff in January in GA SheltieLover Nov 2020 #1
Two seats, right? question everything Nov 2020 #2
I believe so! SheltieLover Nov 2020 #9
Yes. TruckFump Nov 2020 #14
Yes ..two seats. It would make 50? Tie to Kamala? Laura PourMeADrink Nov 2020 #3
Any of the charts just show number of R's and Ds but there are 2 I's question everything Nov 2020 #19
we should all start donating asap to the runoffs AlexSFCA Nov 2020 #4
Yes. This changes the whole game. The Trifecta is within reach! Budi Nov 2020 #6
Yes!!! SheltieLover Nov 2020 #10
Totally! This is WAR with the R DonaldsRump Nov 2020 #5
K & R THIS ⬆️ Budi Nov 2020 #8
theoretically Orangepeel Nov 2020 #7
I am amazed at how well Joe is doing in GA DonaldsRump Nov 2020 #11
I was very pleased to see Tillis below 50%. EOM TruckFump Nov 2020 #15
There is an outside chance he could still go down Amishman Nov 2020 #17
Thank you for the info. TruckFump Nov 2020 #18
Unfortunately Not To Add Justices Or Eliminate Filibuster sfstaxprep Nov 2020 #12
For sure? Because I understand the VP breaks the tie even in deciding majority, not just vote. LizBeth Nov 2020 #13
given the history on it, it does not appear to be that clean cut for other areas Amishman Nov 2020 #16

Orangepeel

(13,933 posts)
7. theoretically
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 02:56 PM
Nov 2020

It is currently 48-48, with four races uncalled.
1. Alaska (R is far ahead and will win, but they are slow counting),
2. NC (Tillis is ahead but Cunningham hasn't conceded. Mailed votes postmarked by the 3rd can arrive by Nov. 11)
3. and 4. two races in Georgia. One (Warnock) will definitely go to a runoff. The other (Ossoff) will likely go to a runoff if Perdue drops below 50% (likely)

We'd need two of these four. #1 is off the table. #2 is very unlikely given the spread, but good for Cunningham for not conceding.

Unless a miracle happens in NC, we'd have to win both runoff elections. As both had other conservative candidates in the general election syphoning some votes, it won't be easy. But it isn't impossible.

DonaldsRump

(7,715 posts)
11. I am amazed at how well Joe is doing in GA
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 03:02 PM
Nov 2020

Not just in Atlanta, but other places. Remember that every remaining vote for Joe yet to be counted is very possibly a vote for Jon Ossoff, helping to force a run-off.

I agree that it won't be easy, but Joe has a lot more sway in GA then any other Dem. If he goes to GA along with BHO etc for a massive push THROUGHOUT the state, I could easily see us picking up both of the seats.

If this happens, I'll do what I can, either remotely or if possible, in person.

Amishman

(5,557 posts)
17. There is an outside chance he could still go down
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 03:22 PM
Nov 2020

156k remaining in NC, ~100k lead.

all remaining are absentee and provisional - which tend to be bluer than their source county, and the majority of these are from blue counties.

Fairly unlikely, but still possible.

Right now I'd give us a 30% chance of winning NC and 15% of topping Tillis

sfstaxprep

(9,998 posts)
12. Unfortunately Not To Add Justices Or Eliminate Filibuster
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 03:11 PM
Nov 2020

Getting to 50 is going to be tough, but 51 and full control seems impossible. I think Ossoff has a good chance though.

LizBeth

(9,952 posts)
13. For sure? Because I understand the VP breaks the tie even in deciding majority, not just vote.
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 03:14 PM
Nov 2020

That the party in Presidency will then declare majority of senate and of course we would say Democratic. So why wouldn't they have the majority for Justices?

Amishman

(5,557 posts)
16. given the history on it, it does not appear to be that clean cut for other areas
Thu Nov 5, 2020, 03:20 PM
Nov 2020
https://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/politics/303644-even-steven-how-would-a-50-50-senate-operate

article from 2016 on this scenario.

after 2000 when there was a 50/50 senate, an interesting power sharing deal was struck, particularly surrounding committee assignments. I would think this would be a likely model to follow.

Assuming we can pull off both GA special elections - historically the Pubs have done well with the runoffs.

If we do get to 50, for controversial measures like abolishing the filibuster for legislation, adding judges, adding states, etc - we won't have the votes. I cannot imagine getting Manchin, Tester, Kelly, Ossoff, and Warnock to go along with it given their purple to red states.
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