General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWinning both Senate run-offs in Georgia is a long shot, but I wonder...
...if not only the fact that Biden is winning there improves our odds, but also that the run-offs won't happen until January.
That's an awful lot of time for Trump's reaction to defeat, and the effect of the rats abandoning the sinking ship, to sully the standing of all Republicans.
It's so hard to know how that will play out. For all I know, the strident Trump supporters will be even more motivated, and Democratic turnout will be harder to motivate for "mere" Senate races.
What Trump will do between now and then, what his enablers will do, and how the psychology of this will all work out seems so hard to predict for me. But maybe, just maybe, it will work to our good. Biden winning saves us from the further horrors Trump would have wrought, but Biden will have a hard time making positive improvement without the Senate in Democratic hands.
One thing Trump will NOT do between now and January... lift a fucking finger to help the Republican candidates in Georgia. If he's out of power, he doesn't give a damn about them or the future of the Republican party. Just like all other things and people in Trump's life, the Republican party was merely a tool he used to get what he wanted for himself. Trump is the only cause Trump believes in.
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)onetexan
(13,037 posts)PTWB
(4,131 posts)I give GOP 60/40 odds on winning but our odds get better based on how big the Trump dumpster fire grows.
DonaldsRump
(7,715 posts)STACEY ABRAMS!
FarPoint
(12,351 posts)Can new voter registration happen now and can these newly registered voters then vote in the upcoming run-offs?
rzemanfl
(29,557 posts)FarPoint
(12,351 posts)and realize what they missed...may feel energized now...folks that already live there...
idziak4ever1234
(1,257 posts)Amaryllis
(9,524 posts)There may be more than that given Kemp's history.
gollygee
(22,336 posts)We have to put the time and money into it. I'm ready to donate. I texted for Biden/Harris. I don't know how effective that'll be in Georgia from a Michigan phone number though.
cally
(21,593 posts)I think that would lead to Dems winning Senate
Qutzupalotl
(14,306 posts)The outstanding ballots are heavily blue rural mail-ins, and theres a TON left, and thats why they havent called it. FWIW.
If it goes heavily blue as he predicts, it could be close. That would give us only one GA Senate seat to get to a tie, with Kamala as a tie-breaker.
But as weve seen and hes admitted, his predictions tend to be too rosy. Thats what he does. Just posting FYI.
NBachers
(17,108 posts)meadowlander
(4,395 posts)but they're both state-wide aren't they? Is it the same pool of voters? Or are they in different districts?
So the odds are better that the same party will win both than that there will be a split?
Silent3
(15,206 posts)Only House races are by district.
meadowlander
(4,395 posts)I can't see someone turning out to vote for Loeffler but not Purdue.
So if we can get over the line on turnout for one, we're likely to be over the line on the other as well.