PLEASE NOTE: The 2020 'exit polling' is an unreliable kludge.

[My Pet Orangutan]

Last edited Mon Nov 9, 2020, 05:53 PM - Edit history (3)

There is no direct comparison between

White Women 2020 v 2016
Black Men 2020 v 2016
Latinx 2020 v 2016

The consortium took the election day questionnaire results, then tried to adjust for the 100 million early voters with telephone polling (and scattered questionnaire results from some early voting sites ). The election day results were skewed GOP but there was no independent data to unwind the overall bias, let alone individual biases amongst the demographic groups. So while the results are not totally unreliable, they cannot, CANNOT be compared with the exit questionnaire results from 2016 and earlier.

So you cannot say, for example, that Biden scored less well with black male voters, by comparing the 2020 'exits' with the 2016 numbers. This may or may not be true, but you are not comparing like with like.

Be Wary Of Exit Polls This Year
https://fivethirtyeight.com/videos/be-wary-of-exit-polls-this-year-well-and-all-years/

[Glorfindel]

1. Thanks! I love learning new words.

" kludge
/klo͞oj/

INFORMAL
noun: an ill-assorted collection of parts assembled to fulfill a particular purpose.

verb: use ill-assorted parts to make (something).

"Hugh had to kludge something together"
Definitions from Oxford Languages

[My Pet Orangutan]

2. yw

Kludge is one of my favorite words. Likewise cacophony.

[Ohiogal]

3. Thanks for teaching me a new word!

That’s a great one. Kludge.

As long as we’re mentioning favorite words that can be used to describe current events, I kind of like “miasma”.

[alwaysinasnit]

4. Kludge - The process used in Republican logic. (Or is Republican logic an oxymoron?)

[My Pet Orangutan]

5. A kluge maybe, if some of the parts are fictional :)

[alwaysinasnit]

6. Well, I've yet to see inconvenient facts get in the way of Republican assertions/accusations.

[My Pet Orangutan]

7. Kick

[My Pet Orangutan]

8. Kick

[My Pet Orangutan]

9. Kick