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NRaleighLiberal

(60,014 posts)
Sat Nov 7, 2020, 12:32 AM Nov 2020

Here's the 538 live blog wrap/status of vote counting for tonight (posted just now)

overall link to the long running live blog - https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2020-election-results-coverage/

NATHANIEL RAKICH
NOV. 6, 11:19 PM
We’re Calling It A Night
We don’t expect any major updates overnight, so we’re going to adjourn for the evening and pick things back up tomorrow morning. Here’s where we stand: Biden can clinch the presidency by winning either Pennsylvania or both Arizona and Nevada. And he looks good in all three states:

Pennsylvania: Biden’s lead here keeps widening and now sits at 28,833 votes. What’s more, the remaining 90,000 or so mail-in ballots and 100,000 or so provisional ballots figure to be Democratic-leaning as well. We expect to get more updates from large, blue counties like Philadelphia and Allegheny tomorrow, which may (or may not) inspire the networks to project the state for Biden.
Nevada: After today’s updates, Biden now leads here by 22,657 votes. Although about 124,500 ballots have yet to be counted, they are expected to lean Democratic. Clark County (home of Las Vegas), where most of the outstanding ballots are from, will release its next update at noon Eastern on Saturday and should have the bulk of the counting done this weekend.
Arizona: Biden currently leads here by 29,861 votes, but an estimated 173,000 ballots (including roughly 47,000 provisional ballots) remain to be counted. Trump needs to win about 59 percent of those (or more) to pull into the lead, but he’s been falling short of that so far. Most of the remaining ballots are in Maricopa County, which will announce its next batch of results Saturday at 11 a.m. Eastern.
Finally, there are two states that are not going to be resolved any time soon.

Georgia: Biden is up here by a little over 4,000 votes — hardly a safe margin with up to nearly 4,200 regular absentee ballots, 8,400 overseas ballots and 14,200 provisional ballots left to count. The secretary of state has already said that the race will go to a recount.
North Carolina: North Carolina has counted every ballot it had in its possession as of Tuesday, and Trump currently leads by 76,515 votes. However, the state has announced that about 130,900 mail-in ballots and 40,766 provisional ballots are potentially outstanding, although not all of them will count. Mail-in ballots can arrive until Nov. 12 and still be counted, and at that point more results will be released.

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Here's the 538 live blog wrap/status of vote counting for tonight (posted just now) (Original Post) NRaleighLiberal Nov 2020 OP
Link? ❤ nt littlemissmartypants Nov 2020 #1
it's just the TPM live blog - posted in its entire. Link to the live blog below NRaleighLiberal Nov 2020 #3
Thanks! ❤ nt littlemissmartypants Nov 2020 #4
Kind of a serious error on Georgia angrychair Nov 2020 #2
There were 25,000 military ballots Johnny2X2X Nov 2020 #5
those have been counted angrychair Nov 2020 #10
Yes Johnny2X2X Nov 2020 #12
Yep, I agree angrychair Nov 2020 #13
I spent some time in Savannah. They've been calling it Joegia for at least decades. Hermit-The-Prog Nov 2020 #6
I doubt they'll call any state... regnaD kciN Nov 2020 #7
They called angrychair Nov 2020 #9
Thank you for mentioning this. It caught my eye as well. nt crickets Nov 2020 #8
Bookmarking your great post so I can refer back to it. It's full of info! n/t CaliforniaPeggy Nov 2020 #11

angrychair

(8,698 posts)
2. Kind of a serious error on Georgia
Sat Nov 7, 2020, 12:43 AM
Nov 2020

there is no 8,400 military/overseas ballots. They were sent out but only a few, like less than 20, came back. Of the 14,200 provisional ballots, not all will get accepted but the majority of those provisional ballots are in Fulton County and will likely break heavily in favor of Biden.

Biden won Georgia. Call it.

Johnny2X2X

(19,060 posts)
5. There were 25,000 military ballots
Sat Nov 7, 2020, 12:50 AM
Nov 2020

17k came back. 8k didn’t. That’s normal.

What the networks were doing was trying to make it seem like 8,000 were coming in and could change things.

angrychair

(8,698 posts)
10. those have been counted
Sat Nov 7, 2020, 01:08 AM
Nov 2020

they were not holding onto a pile of them to count latter. They are treated like any other mail-in ballot.
The remaining never came back....well very few did.

Johnny2X2X

(19,060 posts)
12. Yes
Sat Nov 7, 2020, 01:11 AM
Nov 2020

They had a few come in today, that’s it.

It’s actually a shame for Biden as he’s winning the military vote convincingly.

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