So, I was running numbers on Arizona based on the remaining votes, %'s, etc ...
When the GREAT NEWS CAME IN 
But ... I still REALLY REALLY want AZ!!!
This is my spreadsheet:
https://1drv.ms/x/s!Aj11fxdu3vKCpkXEqq9Qtjt3dpsM?e=D5vABU
Column D is Trump's gain if the %'s currently seen in every county hold up for the remaining ballots. Column E is the current %'s + a % Trump handicap seen in column F ... at this point, I'm giving him +10%.
So if it were 50/50 right now, Column E is calculating his expected votes under a 60/40 advantage for Trump.
Basically, if he outperforms Biden by +10% higher than he has everywhere in the state so far ... he'll catch up.
Obviously not entirely precise but I was curious what we were looking at, so there it is ... gonna be RAZOR THIN either way.
Sorry didn't do all the county names, I copied this by hand, so ...
= new reply since forum marked as read
