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Alhena

(3,030 posts)
Tue Nov 10, 2020, 01:59 PM Nov 2020

Would you have wanted to know the true poll numbers?

Would you have wanted to know, for weeks heading into the election, that PA, Wisconsin, Michigan and Arizona were statistically tied? That Biden would lose Florida handily? I'll be honest, I wouldn't. Someone posted some close polls on the Sunday before election here, and we all freaked out til we got some showing Biden winning Wisconsin and MI by 9 or 10. I'm glad the polls screwed up so much since it gave me peace of mind for weeks heading into the election.

6 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Would you have wanted to know the true poll numbers? (Original Post) Alhena Nov 2020 OP
The polls were not that wrong Botany Nov 2020 #1
Yes. It would have helped get out the Democratic vote. yardwork Nov 2020 #2
It seems to me Biden's internal polling was accurate per media reports Raven123 Nov 2020 #3
I thought BIDEN won Michigan by 160k not 9-10k am I wrong DLCWIdem Nov 2020 #4
The problem isn't just the public polls. Claustrum Nov 2020 #5
assume the polls were wrong stillcool Nov 2020 #6

Raven123

(4,830 posts)
3. It seems to me Biden's internal polling was accurate per media reports
Tue Nov 10, 2020, 02:05 PM
Nov 2020

They believed the race was close in MI, WI, and PA. Felt “pretty good” about PA.
They believed they had a better chance of winning GA than FLA.
They believed AZ could flip.

Not bad.

The question for me is what was going on with the Senate and House races. We need reliable data. Too much money spent for too little return.

Claustrum

(4,845 posts)
5. The problem isn't just the public polls.
Tue Nov 10, 2020, 02:08 PM
Nov 2020

The internal and district level private polls are off quite a bit as well. That's where I have a bit of problem because it affects actual strategy for campaigns up and down the ticket and our party level investment into "toss up" races. I am happy Biden still won at the end but I wish the data is more accurate so our candidate/party can form a smart, effective and accurate strategy.

On a personal level, I think you are right and it helps me sleep better before election. But I don't want the campaigns to have inaccurate data.

stillcool

(32,626 posts)
6. assume the polls were wrong
Tue Nov 10, 2020, 02:23 PM
Nov 2020

for a very, very long time. Never assume the vote totals could be incorrect. No election security is great!

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