General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsUS CV-19 cases per day: 200K is the new 100K
JHU has yesterday's total at 184K. It wasn't that long ago that the MSM was framing 100K per day as the "nightmare scenario". Now that doesn't seem so bad, and 200K is what we should be worried about.
What's concerning is the purely exponential curve that started here in early September. This wave doesn't show any sign of cresting or even slowing at all. That's a bit different from the resurgences in Europe.
The Genealogist
(4,723 posts)Americans have much less patience today than they once did. People want instant gratification, instant resolution to issues. I think a lot of people are worn down by this pandemic, and just saying "screw it." Add that to the maskholes who ain't not gunna have no gummit telling them to wear no mask, cuz freeedumb.
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)Shermann
(7,413 posts)It's doubling every two weeks.
You can compare the increase in testing (linear) with the increase in cases (exponential).
https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/individual-states
So there is surely a correlation there, but the increase in testing is clearly not the most significant factor. This linearly increasing input cannot result in an exponential increase in the output.
I realize none of us here need to be convinced of that. This is an easy-to-digest irrefutable fact for the deniers to chew on.
In fact, I would expect there to be an ever-diminishing increase in cases as testing is expanded. This would hopefully be followed over time by an exponential decrease as the R0 value is driven lower. So there is a negative feedback aspect to the testing. You cannot overstate the importance of this.
lapfog_1
(29,199 posts)self sustaining and exponential when you reach critical mass.
won't stop until either a certain percentage of the "fuel" is consumed OR someone inserts the "control rods".
Putin wants the USA to be in chaos... his operative, Trump, lost the election and is not going to pull off his attempted coup.
So A decision was made to try to make as many people sick and / or dead by the time Trump leaves office. LIHOP or MIHOP. Doesn't matter.
And it's not the 1.5 million of us likely to die... its the 15 million or more that will have long term health issues.
so no control rods into the reactor... we won't have a national policy of masks and "stay the fuck home" to stop the infection.
I had to spend an afternoon in a relatively "red" part of california yesterday, went through a drive through for fast food on the way home. Parked in the strip mall near a "kid dojo". There were hundreds of kids and parents there for some sort of karate tournament. Indoors... crowded. Not a single person was wearing a mask. People would walk TO the places wearing masks and TAKE THE MASK OFF at the door.
Un-fucking-believable. Watched this at a distance of maybe 100 yards and decided I was too close.
Blues Heron
(5,931 posts)We'll be locking down again everywhere - the virus doesn't care it's relentless, but not all that hard to stop if everybody would participate in basic hygiene like wearing a mask, not partying and staying home.