Cook Political: Republicans could have won a House Majority...

[brooklynite]

If they'd know how well they were going to do in down ballot, they could have reallocated money to try and take 11 seats where Democrats won by less than 5%, where Republicans spent less tha $1.0 M per race.

[empedocles]

1. Scary

[hlthe2b]

2. I like Charlie Cook, but didn't Cook along with all other pollsters predict a down ballot blowout?

Just askin.....

[onecaliberal]

3. I don't think this is accurate.

[hlthe2b]

5. It is as I recall at least as late as Labor Day. Can you show me otherwise?

[onecaliberal]

6. I'd like to see the data that supports your position.

[hlthe2b]

7. You are the one who is questioning. Where is YOUR data? I'm at work.

[onecaliberal]

8. You made an assertion. Based on where I live, I disagree.

Show me your data.

[hlthe2b]

9. I said as I recall. If you can prove otherwise, I'm happy to look at it.

[onecaliberal]

10. Look at what compare to what. If you can't show me they would have

Won more with data then I’m done with this conversation. You’re the one who posted the assertion, not me.

[hlthe2b]

12. I heard his final election interviews. 538.com included COOK in polls giving a 80% chance of

between 225 and 254 seats and I recall Charlie Cook being consistent with that:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/house/

So, unless you are just trying to be combative for no reason, show me YOUR data otherwise.

[malaise]

14. It is accurate

What I cannot fathom is why polls are so off the mark these days. It makes me very suspicious.

[bucolic_frolic]

16. I think that's about right, we were in solid shape to be neutral or higher

That's what I remember.

[msongs]

4. they did well taking back seats in biden majority districts in CA. those were a shock nt

[Thekaspervote]

11. The seats the pukes took back in CA were deep red districts that flipped in 18 and were bound

To flip back.

[SunSeeker]

15. And dark money flooded to those GOP candidates.

When Cook claims only $1M was spent on those candidates, he isn't counting the millions in so called "third party" PAC ads spent in those races. That's how the GOP rolls, not direct contributions.

Also, and I can speak of this from personal knowledge since I live in Dem Harley Rouda's Orange County, CA House district, his GOP opponent flouded covid safety rules and sent people knocking on every door in my neighborhood to get out the vote. Harley Rouda, because he is a decent human being and takes Covid-19 seriously, did not use this powerful GOTV tool during this election, unlike in his successful run in 2018 (when I was one of Harley's door knockers).

[still_one]

13. Monday morning quarter back nonsense