NY Times is showing Warnock with 89% probability of winning, Ossoff at 75%!!

[George II]

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/01/05/us/elections/results-georgia-runoffs.html?action=click&module=ELEX_results&pgtype=Interactive&region=ReporterUpdates

[SheltieLover]

1. Excellent! 👏👏👏👏

Ty, George!

[Laelth]

2. That seems reasonable at this point. n/t

-Laelth

[Thekaspervote]

3. this is better than being a little kid on Christmas morning!,

[onetexan]

13. Ditto!!

[Initech]

4. Go Georgia go!!!!

[Blue_true]

7. As a Floridian, I have always looked down my nose at Georgia people.

I can’t anymore, they have a clearer view of the future and what is needed. Congrats to that state.

[Initech]

15. We got to start turning Florida around!

[Blue_true]

23. Yes we do.

We need to keep educated, progressive people that are leaving the state for jobs elsewhere. We also need to develop young Cuban politicians in South Florida and the Tampa area. Cuban registration is 45% Dem, 55% repug, but the 55% dramatically outperform the 45%, mostly because they develop and field younger politicians. Also, Florida Universities really lag badly at turning research into new company startups, even though we have good climate for 70% of the year. The universities need to start seeding more Hi-Tech, Biotech and Information Technology startups, that will keep educated young people in the state.

[pennylane100]

31. Or the outreach programs could reach could reach programs for the working and middle class people.

[pennylane100]

33. Or the outreach programs could reach the rest of the working class people.

[msongs]

5. que bueno nt

[My Pet Orangutan]

6. Beat me to it George ;)

[George II]

9. ....

[George II]

8. Warnock up to 90%, Ossoff up to 76% probability of winning.

[DURHAM D]

10. Time to put my Biden/Harris sign back out in my front yard.

Best way I can think of to celebrate.

[yardwork]

21. Great idea!

[AmericanCanuck]

11. Looking at the remaining votes

I'd think both seats will be won by us.

There is no place for republicans to catch-up.

[George II]

16. Exactly. Outstanding areas lean Democratic.

[Cha]

12. Holy Mother of Pearl!

I HOPE SO!!!

TY George

[herding cats]

14. I'm thinking we just might have pulled this off!

I didn't expect an Ossoff win tonight and this will be a delightful surprise!

[exboyfil]

17. Are there a bunch of Democratic votes still out

Right now the Rs lead both races. I just got online so I don't know the status.

[George II]

18. They have algorithms that examine not just the votes but from where they came....

It looks like Democratic areas are more outstanding than republican areas.

[MustLoveBeagles]

27. Yes

There's still a bunch of outstanding votes in the Atlanta area.

[W_HAMILTON]

28. Check out these folks on Twitter:

Dave Wasserman, Nate Cohn, maybe Nate Silver and Harry Enten.

These folks -- especially the first two -- are paid professionals that make their living off looking at the details of the votes still left to be counted, turnout expectations vs. actual, etc. Start checking them out on Twitter and have faith in them -- once again, especially the first two -- because they usually know what they are talking about.

FYI, Wasserman has already called it for Warnock.

[George II]

19. Warnock up to 92%, Ossoff up to 78%!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[uponit7771]

20. I'm not seeing this, I'm seeing the 1.2% from that other candidate during GE going kGOP ...

... what does NYT see?

Thx in advance

[George II]

22. DeKalb County is about to come it - they say it's typically 80/20 for the Democrats.

[Ellipsis]

24. bump n/t

[George II]

25. DeKalb coming in now...Ossoff has 81%, Perdue 18%. I'm sure Warnock/Loeffler is similar....

With 42% reported.

[triron]

26. Whoa!

[Buckeye_Democrat]

29. YES!!

[George II]

30. Ossoff is now 80%, Warnock is 94% and will be pegging pretty soon. Edit: 81% and 95%!!!!!

[mr_lebowski]

32. Now 95% and 81% woot! (nt)

[George II]

34. Just went to 95% (very likely) and 83% (on the edge of likely)

[George II]

35. Warnock just moved up to about 98% (VERY likely) and Ossoff up to 88% (Likely)