Maybe the best thing you'll read all day!
As a longtime Brookings donor, I can't recommend their work highly enough.
It's an amazing group of expert researchers.
Read Brookings and you'll be the most well informed person in the room 99/100 times.
No worries about correct data for arguing with your opposition... the Gold Standard.
https://www.brookings.edu/research/social-and-economic-impact-of-covid-19/
The link is to a summary, the entire paper can be d/l right there too.
This paper presents a succinct summary of the existing economic literature on the economic and fiscal impact of the pandemic, and a preliminary estimate of the associated economic cost. It documents the incidence of initial conditions (with a particular focus on the role of the labor market channel) on the transmission of the shock and the speed and extent of the expected recovery, summarizes how countries attempted to attenuate the economic consequences and the international financial institutions assisted countries, reports preliminary accounts of medium-term COVID-related losses, and concludes with some forward-looking considerations based on the lessons learned in 2020.
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