Democrats may keep control of the Senate in 2022 for one reason:

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Republicans are struggling to recruit candidates where it matters

The GOP has yet to land a single top recruit to run for the Senate anywhere in the country.

By James Pindell Globe Staff, Updated August 2, 2021, 11:21 a.m.

The surest way that Republicans can stop whatever legislative agenda President Biden has in mind after the 2022 midterm elections is to win a majority in the US Senate.

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On paper, it seems easy enough. Republicans need to win just a single seat in order to flip the 50-50 Senate and possibilities for doing so are all over the map. Given that midterm elections often benefit the party out of power, and Democrats control two out of three levers of the federal government, Republicans wouldn’t be overly optimistic in assuming Mitch McConnell might soon rule the Senate again.

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There are four states with vulnerable Democratic incumbents in the 2022 cycle. These incumbents include Senators Mark Kelly in Arizona, Raphael Warnock in Georgia, Catherine Cortez Masto in Nevada, and Maggie Hassan in New Hampshire. Defeat just one of them, and if everything else stays the same, control of the Senate has shifted.

But here is where we stand in those races. In Arizona, the top Republican recruit is the state’s governor Doug Ducey, but he keeps ruling out a run because he is in open war with Donald Trump over Biden’s victory in the state during the 2020 election, and Trump has vowed to defeat him in a Republican primary. In Georgia, the Republican contest is frozen because Trump keeps pushing his friend, former NFL star Herschel Walker, to run. But last month, news of Walker’s turbulent past emerged, including allegations of domestic violence.

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https://www.bostonglobe.com/2021/08/02/nation/democrats-may-keep-control-senate-2022-one-reason-republicans-are-struggling-recruit-candidates-where-it-matters/

[ColinC]

1. Um whatabout the hillbilly guy?

Isn't he a "top recruit?" Or do they just mean against a democratic incumbent?

[Tarc]

2. Maggie Hassan is not vulnerable

We're purple, trending blue, never going back. Many transplants from Massachusetts filling the voter rolls these days.

[LetMyPeopleVote]

3. GOP's hopes of winning the Senate dwindle as Republicans struggle 'to land a single top recruit'

Link to tweet

[Wounded Bear]

4. As long as trump is calling their shots, I like our chances...

[lagomorph777]

5. Yeah, he's got the inverse Midas Touch.

[lees1975]

6. I don't think any of them are as "vulnerable" as it may seem

Kelly's victory in Arizona was pretty solid, lots more votes than Biden won the state. Warnock will hold on to that seat simply because he will get the turnout from the voters who put him in there in the first place. Hassan and Cortez-Masto aren't as vulnerable as they might want to appear because they need to raise some money.

I do see Democrats picking up the seat in PA vacated by Toomey, and the NC seat that Burr is leaving. Ohio and Wisconsin may be a shade closer but I'd bet odds on the Dems getting one of the two. And I wouldn't be surprised to see a flip in Florida, given who the Democratic nominee may turn out to be.

[crickets]

7. I'm pulling hard for Val Demings in FL. Rubio has got to go. nt