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littlemissmartypants

(22,850 posts)
Sun Aug 15, 2021, 12:02 PM Aug 2021

The Riches of Afghanistan

Last edited Wed Aug 25, 2021, 03:09 PM - Edit history (1)

This article, opinion piece was a bear to edit down I hope you, the reader, can make some sense of it.

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https://thediplomat.com/2020/02/afghanistans-mineral-resources-are-a-lost-opportunity-and-a-threat/


THE DEBATE | OPINION

Without a coherent strategy, Afghanistan’s vast mineral resources represent both a lost opportunity and a threat to national security.

By Ahmad Shah Katawazai
February 01, 2020
Afghanistan’s Mineral Resources Are a Lost Opportunity and a Threat

“We are at risk of the curse of plenty, [the] curse of resources.”

— President Ashraf Ghani

Torn by four decades of war and desperate poverty, Afghanistan is believed to be sitting on one of the richest troves of minerals in the world. The value of these resources has been roughly estimated between $1-3 trillion.

Afghanistan has vast reserves of gold, platinum, silver, copper, iron, chromite, lithium, uranium, and aluminium. The country’s high-quality emeralds, rubies, sapphires, turquoise, and lapis lazuli have long charmed the gemstone market. The United States Geological Survey (USGS), through its extensive scientific research of minerals, concluded that Afghanistan may hold 60 million metric tons of copper, 2.2 billion tons of iron ore, 1.4 million tons of rare earth elements (REEs) such as lanthanum, cerium, neodymium, and veins of aluminium, gold, silver, zinc, mercury, and lithium. According to Pentagon officials, their initial analysis at one location in Ghazni province showed the potential for lithium deposits as large as those of Bolivia, which has the world’s largest known lithium reserves. The USGS estimates the Khanneshin deposits in Helmand province will yield 1.1.-1.4 million metric tons of REEs. Some reports estimate Afghanistan REE resources are among the largest on earth.

REEs have become essential part of modern technology. They are used in cell phones, televisions, hybrid engines, computers, lasers, and batteries. U.S. Congressional findings have called REEs critical to national security. According to a Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction (SIGAR) report, Washington has not had a unified strategy for the development of Afghanistan’s extractive industries. Realizing the importance, critical capability and the Pentagon’s increasing dependence on Chinese REEs, U.S. President Donald Trump in July 2019 amended section 303 of the Defense Production Act of 1950, thus authorizing the domestic production capability for separation and processing of light REE’s, which are essential to national defense. Moreover, the Trump administration has commenced the Energy Resource Governance Initiative (ERGI), intended to promote mining of minerals that are in high demand. So far, the ERGI initiative includes Canada, Australia, Botswana, Peru, Argentina, Brazil, Democratic Republic of Congo, Namibia, the Philippines, and Zambia. Afghanistan could be part of the ERGI as well, from which the country could benefit economically and ensure a long-term strategic partnership with the United States. REEs are key to the production of tank navigation systems, missile guidance systems, missile defense components, satellites, and military communications systems.

Snip


Afghanistan’s rich mineral resources, if exploited effectively, could prove to be the best substitutes for foreign aid and decrease the country’s dependence on donor countries and foreign support. These resources, if properly managed, provide an opportunity for Afghanistan to write its own story of economic success. Robust policies, strong institutional arrangements together with clear policy direction will pave the way for attracting both domestic and foreign investors. Better management of mineral resources could end in sustainable economic growth paving the way for a lasting peace.

Snip...

Illegal mining is rampant throughout Afghanistan, with more than 2,000 such sites raising money for warlords and the insurgency.
Snip...


For example, a big chunk of the country’s mineral wealth is currently going toward warlords, armed militias and Taliban insurgents. According to a recent Global Witness report, “the revenue going to these strongmen (warlord and mafia) and the Taliban from just one small area of Badakhshan (province) rivals the government’s declared income from the entire Afghan natural resource sector.” Mineral resources are thought to be the Taliban’s second largest source of revenue.


Fortunately, Afghanistan’s current president Ashraf Ghani, a former World Bank economist, is well aware of the value of mineral resources and the danger they pose to the country. He has spoken of the dangers of the resource curse with refreshing clarity. Shortly after assuming office, Ghani said that he will transform the Afghan economy through minerals. But little has been done regarding mineral sector so far, and mining remains untouched to greater extent.

The Afghan government ...snip...will not be able to regain control of the thousands of illegally exploited mines in Afghanistan any time soon.

Snip

More at the link.

https://thediplomat.com/2020/02/afghanistans-mineral-resources-are-a-lost-opportunity-and-a-threat/

Ahmad Shah Katawazai (the author)
is the member of the Academy of Sciences of Afghanistan and former Diplomat at the Afghan Embassy Washington D.C. Katawazai has a master degree in Global Security Studies from Johns Hopkins University and a master in International Legal Studies from American University. Katawazai is a published writer. You can follow him on Twitter @askatawazai.

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Of course, we now see what's become of the "best laid plans of mice and men" as the wealth slips between the fingers.

Stay safe everyone.
❤pants

5 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
The Riches of Afghanistan (Original Post) littlemissmartypants Aug 2021 OP
China wants them. roamer65 Aug 2021 #1
Everyone does. littlemissmartypants Aug 2021 #4
They'll be professionally looted dalton99a Aug 2021 #2
China is laughing their asses off at us right now ansible Aug 2021 #3
Somehow I doubt the Chinese will do much better. thucythucy Aug 2021 #5

littlemissmartypants

(22,850 posts)
4. Everyone does.
Sun Aug 15, 2021, 12:24 PM
Aug 2021

A Chinese mining company has already signed a contract for one of the largest copper mines in the world at Mes Aynak. The miner's quarters have been sitting empty since 2012 or 2013, iirc.

Wikipedia says

The Mes Aynak mine is a large copper mine located in the east of Afghanistan in Logar Province. Mes Aynak represents one of the largest copper reserve in Afghanistan and in the world having estimated reserves of 690 million tonnes of ore grading 1.65% copper.

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3 Chinese firms to develop Afghan copper mine

by Zhang Ming'ai, November 23, 2007


China Metallurgical Group Corporation, Jiangxi Copper Corporation and Fujian Zijin Mining Group Company Limited jointly obtained the right to develop the biggest Afghan copper mine, Aynak copper deposit, with their offer of over US$2.87 billion, the Afghan Ministry of Mines announced recently.

Aynak copper deposit is one of the world's largest copper mines with proven reserves of 690 million tons of copper ore containing about 1.65 percent or 11.3 million tons of copper. The Aynak reserves consist of about one third of China's total proven copper reserves. Some geologists even believe that Aynak might be the world's largest copper mine.

Afghan Minister of Mines Ibrahim Adel said that this deal was the biggest investment in Afghan history, with about 10,000 people expected to work there. Its present copper reserves are more than 10 million tons and are likely to rise to 20 million tons, with copper values at about US$ 30 billion under present prices, he said.

China Metallurgical played the main role during bidding; Jiangxi Copper Corporation and Fujian Zijin Mining Group Company acted as shareholders. China Metallurgical will invest US$3 billion in this project over the next few years, a related responsible person inside the company claimed.

Snip ...more at the link
http://www.china.org.cn/english/business/232927.htm

 

ansible

(1,718 posts)
3. China is laughing their asses off at us right now
Sun Aug 15, 2021, 12:08 PM
Aug 2021

They get to reap all the benefits of Afghanistan while inflicting one of the most humiliating retreats in American history

thucythucy

(8,109 posts)
5. Somehow I doubt the Chinese will do much better.
Sun Aug 15, 2021, 01:15 PM
Aug 2021

Providing the Taliban with hard cash will also provide an opportunity for more aid to support the resistance in Xinjiang. If the Chinese try setting up locals to oppose of even limit the Taliban access to this wealth, there will inevitably be the urge, sooner or later, for the Chinese military to move in.

I never understood the need for the US to be in Afghanistan, once bin Laden and his network were eliminated. Have the Taliban ever directly threatened the US outside the immediate region? Unlike the Saudis, have they ever provided terrorist recruits to attack the mainland US, or American assets outside the region?

All the money spent on the Afghan military in our vain attempt to make that a modern, viable nation state could have been spent re-settling anyone in that region who wanted a better life in the US, Canada, Europe. We did this in a major way for Cuba in the 1960s and 70s, we could and should have done better for Vietnamese in the 1970s.

In the meantime, the Taliban, if they are a threat at all to anyone outside of Afghanistan, are much more of a threat to China. Millions of Muslims in China might well look to Afghanistan as a model for bringing jihad to Xinjiang and elsewhere.

They don't call Afghanistan the graveyard of empires for nothing.

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