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Stinky The Clown

(67,837 posts)
Sun Aug 29, 2021, 11:42 AM Aug 2021

Grand Isle, LA has about 40 people who will ride out Ida

Grand Isle is (and has been) forecast to be among the very hardest hit areas. It is low lying and is likely to be scraped clean by wind and storm surge.

Source: live interview with the head of that parish on CNN

40 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Grand Isle, LA has about 40 people who will ride out Ida (Original Post) Stinky The Clown Aug 2021 OP
Well, Most Of Them Probably Are Trying To Ride Out Covid Without Vaccination Too SoCalDavidS Aug 2021 #1
It is possible to ride out a Cat 5, but you have to know what you are doing. Irish_Dem Aug 2021 #2
Yeah, but storm surge is this issue here.... LeftInTX Aug 2021 #4
The USGS says islands get storm surges too. Irish_Dem Aug 2021 #7
The gulf coast is horrific due to very shallow, expansive continental shelf... LeftInTX Aug 2021 #12
When you see impoverished Fiji islanders survive a direct cat 5 hit, makes me Irish_Dem Aug 2021 #14
Part of the way to survive is to move away from the coastline. bottomofthehill Aug 2021 #30
Grand Isle maximum elevation is only seven feet. femmedem Aug 2021 #24
Storm surge at Grand Isle is projected at 12-16 feet VMA131Marine Aug 2021 #26
and these people will probably depend on old knowledge 3Hotdogs Aug 2021 #5
Yep. We can only imagine the wisdom Fox will impart on how to handle a Cat 5. Irish_Dem Aug 2021 #11
You mean after they blame the Hurricane on Biden? Chainfire Aug 2021 #19
Yes, and sometimes hundreds or even thousands die. thucythucy Aug 2021 #13
Good idea, I have heard they are expecting a 10 to 14 foot storm bottomofthehill Aug 2021 #3
So it becomes a simple issue of "How long can you hold your breath?" Chainfire Aug 2021 #21
They were given very little notice jimfields33 Aug 2021 #25
They had 2-3 days notice. Lochloosa Aug 2021 #27
Not enough time. jimfields33 Aug 2021 #28
I've lived in FL all my life....it's plenty of time. Lochloosa Aug 2021 #29
I'm in central Florida. Haven't left yet jimfields33 Aug 2021 #31
At least it is only 40 and not thousands... LeftInTX Aug 2021 #6
Now there saying 26. Lol. jimfields33 Aug 2021 #32
I read most were first responders... LeftInTX Aug 2021 #33
Reminds me of those who refused to evacuate from Mt. St. Helens QED Aug 2021 #8
Ha! We posted the same thing at the exact same time. Sympthsical Aug 2021 #10
GMTA! QED Aug 2021 #15
Vaporized??? LeftInTX Aug 2021 #18
The article explains the effect of temperatures on a body. QED Aug 2021 #22
Just because the site is "Science History" doesn't mean it's so LeftInTX Aug 2021 #35
Perhaps you aren't familiar with the books of Sam Kean. QED Aug 2021 #36
More like Ida will ride them Sympthsical Aug 2021 #9
Some of those people probably can't vice won't leave. haele Aug 2021 #16
I remember Camille. They won't make it. Lochloosa Aug 2021 #17
An interesting question is, "How did they make it this far?" Chainfire Aug 2021 #23
Some of the people were sheltering in the Grand Isle police station. femmedem Aug 2021 #37
Damn Lochloosa Aug 2021 #38
If this tweet is accurate, they all survived! femmedem Aug 2021 #39
amazing but great. Bet they won't do that again. Lochloosa Aug 2021 #40
"Ride it out" ... and then what? Auggie Aug 2021 #20
It's coming in now just west of there BumRushDaShow Aug 2021 #34

SoCalDavidS

(9,998 posts)
1. Well, Most Of Them Probably Are Trying To Ride Out Covid Without Vaccination Too
Sun Aug 29, 2021, 11:43 AM
Aug 2021

Life is so unimportant to these people, I guess.

Irish_Dem

(47,697 posts)
2. It is possible to ride out a Cat 5, but you have to know what you are doing.
Sun Aug 29, 2021, 11:45 AM
Aug 2021

South Pacific Islanders can do it using old knowledge.

LeftInTX

(25,716 posts)
12. The gulf coast is horrific due to very shallow, expansive continental shelf...
Sun Aug 29, 2021, 11:52 AM
Aug 2021

Even east coast of Florida doesn't have the same issue...

Irish_Dem

(47,697 posts)
14. When you see impoverished Fiji islanders survive a direct cat 5 hit, makes me
Sun Aug 29, 2021, 12:00 PM
Aug 2021

believe they could figure out a way to survive a storm surge too.

bottomofthehill

(8,358 posts)
30. Part of the way to survive is to move away from the coastline.
Sun Aug 29, 2021, 12:41 PM
Aug 2021

The first line of defense of a cyclone in Fiji is to evacuate the smaller islands. Once under water there is no coming back to help you until the water recedes. You are only putting others in danger trying to rescue you.

Grand Isle is about 5 feet above sea level so a 10 to 14 foot storm surge is just going to wash over the great majority of the island. There is no reason to be there. You can not protect your house or belongings if they are 5-9 feet under water.

Simple, best to leave. I ran 3 trips to New Orleans in the aftermath of Katrina. There were rescue missions but too many recovery missions.

We know better. People should just evacuate.

femmedem

(8,209 posts)
24. Grand Isle maximum elevation is only seven feet.
Sun Aug 29, 2021, 12:27 PM
Aug 2021

Fiji's maximum elevation, for example, is over 4,000 feet.

I hope you are correct but I think these forty people are extremely likely to be swept out to sea.

VMA131Marine

(4,159 posts)
26. Storm surge at Grand Isle is projected at 12-16 feet
Sun Aug 29, 2021, 12:31 PM
Aug 2021

I’d have to be in a reinforced concrete building at least twice that high to even consider riding out Ida.

thucythucy

(8,109 posts)
13. Yes, and sometimes hundreds or even thousands die.
Sun Aug 29, 2021, 11:55 AM
Aug 2021

Then too, South Pacific Islanders generally have no way to evacuate.

It is possible to ride out just about anything.

It's also possible to die during one of these events.

bottomofthehill

(8,358 posts)
3. Good idea, I have heard they are expecting a 10 to 14 foot storm
Sun Aug 29, 2021, 11:46 AM
Aug 2021

Storm surge. The foolish brave. Why would someone stay.

Chainfire

(17,715 posts)
21. So it becomes a simple issue of "How long can you hold your breath?"
Sun Aug 29, 2021, 12:14 PM
Aug 2021

These are excitement seekers. Manly men and women who aren't afraid of anything.

jimfields33

(16,068 posts)
25. They were given very little notice
Sun Aug 29, 2021, 12:30 PM
Aug 2021

How many will die on the highway trying to get out of Louisiana. No perfect solution since the notice from this storm was late at best.

jimfields33

(16,068 posts)
28. Not enough time.
Sun Aug 29, 2021, 12:37 PM
Aug 2021

Heck just hurricane prep takes that long. Oh leave windows exposed? I don’t think so.

jimfields33

(16,068 posts)
31. I'm in central Florida. Haven't left yet
Sun Aug 29, 2021, 12:42 PM
Aug 2021

Although Irma still haunts me. That was a brutal night. Lost a dirty oak out back. Thank goodness didn’t hit the house.

LeftInTX

(25,716 posts)
18. Vaporized???
Sun Aug 29, 2021, 12:07 PM
Aug 2021

His body just wasn't found....

I'm pretty sure his bones are out there somewhere...

QED

(2,753 posts)
22. The article explains the effect of temperatures on a body.
Sun Aug 29, 2021, 12:15 PM
Aug 2021


Vaporizing an entire body would require three steps: vaporizing water, vaporizing viscera, and vaporizing bones. The water content of human beings changes as we age, dropping from 75% in squishy newborns to around 60% in (somewhat literally) crusty old folk. Given Truman’s weight and age (mid-80s), he probably carried 100 pounds of water, and it would have taken around 27,000 (food) calories to raise that water to boiling temperature and then boil it off.

But what about the solid portions of his body? Vaporizing organs might sound outlandish, but it is possible: a few victims near Vesuvius had the tops of their heads blown off as their brains boiled inside their skulls. Researchers have tested this possibility. Because our bodies contain dozens of types of organs and tissues, some studies have used dried pork (which is similar to human flesh) as a quick-and-dirty proxy rather than tabulate the heat-absorption properties of each component. A human adult body, after subtracting the water, contains around 25 pounds of organs, gristle, and fat. Given that dried pork has about 230 calories per hundred grams, it takes around 27,000 more calories to break all that down.

Vaporizing Truman’s 25-pound skeleton would involve breaking down the main mineral in bone—calcium hydroxyapatite, or Ca10(PO4)6(OH)2—and would require an additional 21,000 or so calories. This brings us to a grand total of 75,000 calories—a good month’s worth of food intake, all delivered in one blow. Few things other than an atom bomb can vaporize a human body between heartbeats, but volcanoes belong to this club: overall, the Mount St. Helens blast released the equivalent of (depending on the estimate) several thousand Hiroshima bombs over its nine-hour eruption.

So the last seconds of Harry Truman’s existence would have looked like this: After he died of heat shock, his clothing would have gone up like flash paper—his jeans and sweater and sandals all incinerating. There would have been a hiss as the water inside him boiled and his body blackened into carbon. Then everything would have more or less sublimed, jumping from solid to spirit.

https://www.sciencehistory.org/distillations/harry-versus-the-volcano

Because science....

LeftInTX

(25,716 posts)
35. Just because the site is "Science History" doesn't mean it's so
Sun Aug 29, 2021, 01:08 PM
Aug 2021

Show me a real research article published in a real research journal...with an .edu extension, then maybe I will believe it....


The Mount Vesuvius eruption didn’t ‘vaporize’ victims; it baked and suffocated them
https://www.washingtonpost.com/history/2020/01/23/vesuvius-eruption-victims-research/

Their flesh may not have been “vaporized” and turned to ash by the superheated flow of hot gas and volcanic matter roaring down the mountain, as previously thought.

Rather, they more likely were “baked” and suffocated by toxic fumes, according to a team of British and Italian scholars.

Those findings appear in the latest issue of the archaeological journal Antiquity.


Even at this, no bones were ever hypothesized to have vaporized at Vesuvius...just soft tissue.....Yeah if you blood boils, it vaporizes..But bones????

QED

(2,753 posts)
36. Perhaps you aren't familiar with the books of Sam Kean.
Sun Aug 29, 2021, 01:14 PM
Aug 2021

Caesar's Last Breath...

But whatever. You do you.

Sympthsical

(9,166 posts)
9. More like Ida will ride them
Sun Aug 29, 2021, 11:51 AM
Aug 2021

There are always these types during disasters.

Whenever I read about them, I always think about Harry R. Truman. He was an old bootlegger near Mount St. Helens. He refused to leave before the eruption and became a media celebrity.

It went about as well as could be expected. I believe the wikipedia entry uses the word "vaporized."

haele

(12,688 posts)
16. Some of those people probably can't vice won't leave.
Sun Aug 29, 2021, 12:04 PM
Aug 2021

Just 40 can be one or two families who are unable to evacuate (no car, sick/elderly family members) plus perhaps a dozen or so caretaker emergency/essential workers staying behind and have been trained how to ride out a hurricane.

Haele

femmedem

(8,209 posts)
37. Some of the people were sheltering in the Grand Isle police station.
Sun Aug 29, 2021, 06:58 PM
Aug 2021

Around midday the police chief said the roof was starting to go. There's audio of him telling a reporter to make it stop because they couldn't take another few hours.



Auggie

(31,226 posts)
20. "Ride it out" ... and then what?
Sun Aug 29, 2021, 12:13 PM
Aug 2021

No electricity, food, gas, water for days. Impassable roads, leaky roofs, sanitation/sewage problems ...

"Ride it out" makes it sound fun, like a roller coaster. Hey, suckers:

BumRushDaShow

(129,875 posts)
34. It's coming in now just west of there
Sun Aug 29, 2021, 12:59 PM
Aug 2021





TEXT

National Hurricane Center
@NHC_Atlantic
1155 AM CDT: #Ida made landfall as an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane near Port Fourchon, Louisiana, with maximum sustained winds of 150 mph and a minimum central pressure of 930 mb (27.46 inches) http://hurricanes.gov
Image
Image
12:57 PM · Aug 29, 2021
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