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Tue Sep 14, 2021, 11:02 PM

MSNBC: "Too Early to Call" in CA Recall vote, but "anti recall is in the lead"

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Reply MSNBC: "Too Early to Call" in CA Recall vote, but "anti recall is in the lead" (Original post)
brooklynite Sep 14 OP
brooklynite Sep 14 #1
Equomba Sep 14 #2
brooklynite Sep 14 #3
brooklynite Sep 14 #4
Johnny2X2X Sep 14 #5
PufPuf23 Sep 14 #6
onecaliberal Sep 14 #10
PufPuf23 Sep 14 #11
onecaliberal Sep 14 #13
PufPuf23 Sep 15 #14
Xolodno Sep 14 #12
brooklynite Sep 14 #7
question everything Sep 14 #8
brooklynite Sep 14 #9

Response to brooklynite (Original post)

Tue Sep 14, 2021, 11:05 PM

1. San Diego County. 68% in; 60.6% voting "no"

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Response to brooklynite (Reply #1)

Tue Sep 14, 2021, 11:08 PM

2. Proud to be a part of the 60%!

And even the OC (Orange County, typically a bit more conserative) is at 58%

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Response to brooklynite (Original post)

Tue Sep 14, 2021, 11:10 PM

3. California total with 7% reported: 61.1% voting "no"

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Response to brooklynite (Original post)

Tue Sep 14, 2021, 11:13 PM

4. Orange County at 68% reporting; 58.3% voting "no"

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Response to brooklynite (Original post)

Tue Sep 14, 2021, 11:15 PM

5. 33% of vote counted

No 70
Yes 30

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Response to brooklynite (Original post)

Tue Sep 14, 2021, 11:16 PM

6. Regardless of these early poll results, I will not be comfortable until

tomorrow AM when the media reports that the recall of Newsome has failed.

Brian Wilson on MSNBC reporting early returns stated that the pattern of recent elections was heavy mail in ballot Democratic turnout but more GOP votes came from day of election voting.

I see that Merced county (San Joaquin Valley) is closer, than San Diego, mid 50s to mid 40s. The recall is likely to succeed in some counties of rural California.

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Response to PufPuf23 (Reply #6)

Tue Sep 14, 2021, 11:25 PM

10. Merced is small white old farming community.

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Response to onecaliberal (Reply #10)

Tue Sep 14, 2021, 11:30 PM

11. I am a native Californian and live (and vote there now)

and know my way around California. That is why made comparison between San Diego and Merced.

I think the election is in the bag for Newsom.

I am in Humboldt county but parts of rural northern California are basically rural Texas.

There has actually been a UC campus in Mercer since 2005.

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Response to PufPuf23 (Reply #11)

Tue Sep 14, 2021, 11:37 PM

13. Born and raised here. I currently live in CA22 Devin Nunes district.

My father was a farmer in Atwater. 10 miles down the 99. San Diego is bigger than this area. There may be more land, but there are far fewer people. And yes, might as well be texas with the exception of healthcare. Which is a big fucking deal.

They’re literally giving away free rides to UC Merced because they can’t get enrollment numbers where they want. The town is terrible.

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Response to onecaliberal (Reply #13)

Wed Sep 15, 2021, 12:59 AM

14. Can't say that I am fond of San Joaquin Valley.

Went to Fresno State for a semester when 18 and dropped out.

My favorite time of year in San Joaquin Valley is when the fruit trees bloom.

Hooray we will not have Elder or a GOP for Governor !!!

I find it very troubling that so many Americans have lost their minds.

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Response to PufPuf23 (Reply #6)

Tue Sep 14, 2021, 11:34 PM

12. Yeah, but they can't make up the deficit...

Getting a few thousand to vote yes isn't going to over come over one million in LA County voting No.

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Response to brooklynite (Original post)

Tue Sep 14, 2021, 11:16 PM

7. Santa Clara County with 71% reporting: 78.1% voting "no"

These are large population counties, and before LA, SF and Oakland come in. The rural Counties aren't going to overcome these numbers.

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Response to brooklynite (Original post)

Tue Sep 14, 2021, 11:19 PM

8. Interesting that Kornacki compares the results to the 2020 results

and they show close parallels. At least, with the early votes.

For me this means that even if Biden approval has dropped, nationwide, it has not affected these elections.

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Response to brooklynite (Original post)

Tue Sep 14, 2021, 11:23 PM

9. LA County reports at 59% in: 76.3% vote "no"

Pushes Statewide result to 70% "no".

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