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Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin

(108,009 posts)
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 08:56 PM Sep 2021

Democrats see a midterm map in California recall success

SACRAMENTO, Calif. (AP) — Few Democrats were surprised to see Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom swat down a Republican-driven recall campaign in bright-blue California. But they were pleased with how he did it.

By making the race into a referendum on former President Donald Trump and his supporters' “extreme” resistance to coronavirus precautions, Newsom offered a formula for survival that could translate to dozens of races in next year's midterm elections, Democrats said. A healthy turnout, spurred by some late anxiety, showed Democrats remain eager to vote against the former president, even when he's not on the ballot.

California voters rejected the "Republican brand that is centered around insurrection and denying the pandemic,” said Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney, chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.

Republicans said they saw nothing to worry about in the California results. Losing badly in a liberal stronghold isn't much of a prediction of the party's performance in battlegrounds like Florida or Georgia, they said. They argue they were saddled with a flawed candidate — talk radio host Larry Elder, the Republican frontrunner who repeatedly cited his support for Trump in a state the former president lost by 30 percentage points and did little to appeal to moderate voters in swingy suburbs.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/democrats-see-a-midterm-map-in-california-recall-success/ar-AAOukOT

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Democrats see a midterm map in California recall success (Original Post) Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Sep 2021 OP
Actually... the recall election is nearly mirroring Biden's winning % from last year. WarGamer Sep 2021 #1
Trumpist GOP already moving the goal posts. Kingofalldems Sep 2021 #2
California should be considered a "lost cause" for them... WarGamer Sep 2021 #3
If they can get Democratic voters to show up Retrograde Sep 2021 #4

WarGamer

(12,445 posts)
1. Actually... the recall election is nearly mirroring Biden's winning % from last year.
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 09:06 PM
Sep 2021

Biden won with 63.5% and Newsom is at 63.9% which has been dropping because "day of" and "late mailed" ballots are trending GOP.

Should end up both around 63.5%

The election in Virginia will be a much better hint for '22.

A GOP win or close defeat will be a harbinger...

Retrograde

(10,137 posts)
4. If they can get Democratic voters to show up
Wed Sep 15, 2021, 10:01 PM
Sep 2021

Turnout was low - 41% statewide per the SoS website. The counties that supported the recall had higher turnout in terms of percentage - 61% in Modoc, 64% in Mariposa, 65% in Sierra- and luckily those have small populations to begin with. More populous counties didn't do as well - my very liberal one had

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