Pace of COVID vaccinations slowest in two months, worrying health professionals

[struggle4progress]

Madeline Holcombe and Amir Vera, CNN
Updated 1:07 AM ET, Thu September 23, 2021

... More than 312,000 people have initiated the vaccination process -- or getting their first shot -- over the last week, CDC data shows. That's a 7% drop from last week and a 35% drop from the previous month.

An average of 742,703 doses are being administered each day and about 182 million people, or 54.9%, of the US population, are fully vaccinated, the data shows. That leaves 71 million people, or 25.1% of the eligible population, who are not vaccinated ...

https://www.cnn.com/2021/09/22/health/us-coronavirus-wednesday/index.html

[SoCalDavidS]

1. I Predicted 65-70% Would Be The Max

When children under 12 get added into the mix, it will add 5-10% from current levels.

And that's probably the ceiling.

[Hugin]

2. Any estimates of the allocations in the remaining un-vaxxed?

Can't be vaxxed? (probably pretty small)
Low information? (i'm guessing the largest group)
Don't care - Until they do?
Willfully ignorant? (not as large as people think)
Anti-vaxx?

Any deeper estimate?

[SoCalDavidS]

3. Well, It's Just My Prediction

I'd say there is 25% of the population that will NEVER, Under No Circumstances, get vaccinated.

Another 5-10% MIGHT be reachable eventually, but it will be extraordinarily slow, and we're talking a handful at a time.

Bottom line is I doubt we ever reach 70% of Americans fully vaccinated.

The largest subset of the 30-35% are anti-vax or don't care. They make up the 25% who will NEVER get vaccinated. Add in 5% who are low information and another 5% who are truly unable to get vaccinated, and you're at the 1/3rd of Americans who won't get shots.

[Hugin]

4. Thanks for the reply, David.

It is one of my pet convictions that social demographers are born and not made.

Sounds like a reasonable breakdown to me.

[Johnny2X2X]

6. Over 76% of adults have gotten at least 1 dose

You'd think those 76% would get their kids vaccinated and/or get the 2nd shot if they haven't already.

There are still people deciding to get their first shot and schools and employers are starting to mandate it. So will that 76% become 80%? Not sure, but I would bet when it's all said and done we get close to 80%. The remaining 20% will all get Covid, period.

[SoCalDavidS]

7. I'm Going Off The Current 55% Of Everybody Currently Fully Vaccinated

I still believe that 6 months from now, the total % of population fully vaccinated, will be 65-70%. Dr. Fauci said 85% would be necessary. 70% is perhaps the bare, bare minimum, and leaves us open to outbreaks and surges.

[Johnny2X2X]

8. Only 24% of the adult population are vaccine avoiders

The adults will dictate their kids get it. So we're at less than 1 in 4 who will not get the vaccine. Some of those can be forced to. I think we get to 75% of the total population easily.

[maxsolomon]

5. We now know the precise % of our population that are selfish idiots.

get the kids vaccinated, get the olds their 3rd jab, and get used to covid never ending.