OK Folks - those storms in the West are looking serious

[malaise]

Please pay attention and stay safe

From NWS
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=pmdspd
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
423 PM EDT Sat Oct 23 2021

Valid 00Z Sun Oct 24 2021 - 00Z Tue Oct 26 2021

...There is a High Risk of excessive rainfall over the Sierra Nevada
Mountains and a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over the Middle
Mississippi and Ohio Valleys on Sunday into Monday morning...

...Heavy snow for the Sierra Nevada Mountains...

...There is a Slight Risk severe thunderstorms over the Central Plains and
Middle Mississippi Valley through Sunday morning...

A strong storm in the Eastern Pacific will impact the West Coast over the
next several days. On Sunday, the associated front moves into the West
Coast, advancing inland to the Northern High Plains to the Great
Basin/Southern California by Monday evening. Moisture will stream into
Central/Northern California overnight Saturday, turning into a powerful
stream of moisture on Sunday. On Monday, the moisture stream will move
southward along the coast while weakening. There is a Marginal Risk of
excessive rainfall through Sunday morning. As the moisture stream
increases, WPC has issued a High Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of
the Sierra Nevada Mountains on Sunday into Monday morning. With the High
Risk, significant, and potentially life threatening flash flooding is
expected.

On Monday, the excessive rainfall threat lessens to a Slight Risk over
parts of the Sierra Nevada Mountains with a Marginal Risk over other parts
of the Sierra Nevada Mountains and parts of the Southern California Coast
from Monday into Monday night. Heavy snow will develop over the higher
elevations of the Sierra Nevada Mountains on Monday as the front moves
pass by. Furthermore, on Monday, spotty snow will develop over parts of
the Cascades and the Northern Intermountain Region Rockies.

https://zoom.earth/#view=48.9,-127.7,4z/date=2021-10-23,17:00,-5/layers=wind,radar ff

[SheltieLover]

1. Stay safe, All!

Ty, Malaise!

[Sympthsical]

2. I love the maps you provide!

I meant to thank you in another thread where you responded to me. They're great.

Yep, we're getting 5+ inches in North Bay starting in a couple hours. It'll be interesting. It's been a minute since we've had that much moisture all at once. And the fire areas have mudslides to worry about. Ooft.

Edit: I see that giant white mass to the west moving in, and it's like, "Oh lordy, it's comin'."

[malaise]

4. Friends from everywhere send me maps

Give thanks for the scientists, map makers and internet experts who spend years giving us more and more ways to stay safe.

[Nictuku]

3. I live in Northern California

We have battened down the hatches!

[malaise]

5. Stay safe and watch the pets too

[2naSalit]

6. Was deemed a Bomb Cyclone yesterday...

Like an arctic hurricane in the north Pacific. It's huge and will bring more winter weather in a hurry.

[malaise]

7. Looks serious for real

From one extreme to the next - we humans are reaping what we sowed

[2naSalit]

8. That's for damn sure...

At least where I'm at I have all the fixins for winter, many down coats/jackets, hats, mittens, boots, I'm fully outfitted for winter. My newer car even has heated seats and steering wheel. But this could play out in a serious way even east of here when it all get rolling through the Rockies.

We've already had our first little rain squall today, been grey since late yesterday afternoon.

[niyad]

15. We had aa "bomb cyclone"; (explosive cyclogenesis) Mar 2019. Power outages,

hundreds of cars stranded, cat 2 force winds. The northeast side of town got hammered, the foothills not so much. Two days later, in the western side of town, could not tell it had been snowing.

Stay safe. Those things are NASTY.

[2naSalit]

23. I remember that.

I was way over here but this one is already here. we had bad winds last night, came in waves but no moisture until about an hour ago. Mostly we'll have wind and cooler temps for as long as it takes to move beyond us.

[niyad]

25. Please stay safe.

[2naSalit]

26. Indeed.

[mcar]

9. They desperately need the water but this isn't the way

[malaise]

10. Story of life

[hardluck]

12. Have to drive from San Jose to LA tomorrow

Not looking forward to it.

[Mr.Bill]

13. Check this web site for road conditions:

https://roads.dot.ca.gov/

There could easily be road closures with this kind of storm. Drive safely and best of luck to you.

[hardluck]

16. Thanks!

[2naSalit]

24. Take 5!

I have been trapped trying to go that route in a rain event before and landslides were the thing. Of course, Grapevine gets them too. Do drive carefully.

[hardluck]

27. Definitely going to take the 5.

Gonna take it nice and easy. No rush. Coming back from my sons hockey weekend.

[2naSalit]

28. It's a long, boring run...

But it's the best unless it's foggy.

[KY_EnviroGuy]

14. I hope Californians are conscious of their risks from flash floods and landslides.....

especially considering all that land scorched by wildfires.

Just did a spot forecast check and just as an example, Stockton if forecast to get 2 to 3 inches of rain on Sunday night, with lots of showers for a full day prior to soak the ground ahead of heavy rain.

Not as severe but that trend continues all the way up into Reno.

Please California and Nevada, don't be complacent........

[AllaN01Bear]

17. this .

https://www.democraticunderground.com/12323533

[malaise]

21. Thanks

Good stuff

[AllaN01Bear]

18. this #2.

https://www.democraticunderground.com/12323529

[panader0]

20. The heavy snow forecast for the Sierra Nevadas is good news for the drought stricken SW.

The runoff will help refill Lake Mead.

[malaise]

22. Indeed

but mudslides in burnt out areas is bad news