McAuliffe has a 59% chance of winning in VA.

[deizo]

https://www.racetothewh.com/virginia

[Polybius]

1. Wonder why they conclude that

They list Youngkin with nearly a 1% lead on all polls averaged out.

[elleng]

2. 59% chance of winning

by 1.9 %???

[spanone]

3. He may be getting the Gavin Newsom treatment?

[Mz Pip]

10. That was supposedly neck and neck too

So close that some in the media were predicting it would be days, maybe even weeks before we knew the outcome.

It was called in under an hour after the polls closed.

[Sympthsical]

15. No it wasn't. People keep repeating this, but it's untrue.

The CA polls were close in late July and early August. That's when everyone (including myself) sounded the alarm.

Then Larry Elder became the GOP standard bearer and started talking.

That was the end of it. Polls leading up to the recall showed Newsom handily winning. The polls showed it wasn't even close.

[onenote]

18. Nonsense.

Newsom pulled way ahead in the polling nearly two weeks before the election and was up by double digits with a week to go. No one who knew anything thought it was going to unresolved.

[deizo]

4. I will take it a win is a win

[elleng]

5. I'd be HAPPY with that.

[underpants]

8. He only won by 56,000 votes in 2013. 2.6%.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2013_Virginia_gubernatorial_election

The third party Libertarian got 6.5%.

[Tribetime]

6. Predict it has 57cents to 45 cents for Terry McAuliffe

He's up 12 cents in last 4 hours. Sorry I don't know how to post a link....61-43 now
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7001/Which-party-will-win-the-2021-Virginia-gubernatorial-election

[Polybius]

11. Down to 56 cent to 51 cents

It's damn close.

[Tribetime]

12. I was looking at the last hour

At least the trends are really good in the last 4 hours

[Polybius]

17. Crap, the puke is now at 55%

[Tribetime]

21. Yeah everything turned when the exit polls came in hopefully they're wrong

[Dave in VA]

7. If you are interested in getting good info

please visit this link to Blue Virginia. Lowkell will keep it running throughout the day.

Enjoy!

https://bluevirginia.us/2021/11/virginia-election-day-2021-open-thread

[FSogol]

9. Even better would be to call everyone you know in VA and make sure they voted.

No excuses!

[TheRealNorth]

13. How is the state senate & house looking?

or are those seats not up for election at this time?

[BlueCheeseAgain]

14. The entire Virginia House is up for election.

The Virginia Senate is not-- the next election for that is 2023.

Not sure what the forecasts say about the results.

[Liberal In Texas]

16. I would love to see him blow it out, if for no other reason than

it will show up the media horse race peddlers.

[Tommy Carcetti]

19. I have PTSD from 2016 regarding pre-election winning probabilities.

I'd rather block those out.

[greenjar_01]

20. Silly