COOK POLITICAL moves three D Senate seats to "Toss-up"

[brooklynite]

Link to tweet

GA likely because of voting restrictions.

NV likely because of disruption caused by Bernie supporters taking over Party leadership.

[Tomconroy]

1. I would have thought NV was the safest.

[brooklynite]

4. "Democrats sweat midterm fallout from Nevada party crack-up"

A war between Harry Reid’s political machine and pro-Bernie Sanders forces is dividing Democrats in a key swing state — and dragging in the Democratic National Committee on the eve of a critical midterm election year.

The Nevada feud, which erupted earlier this year when insurgent Sanders supporters took over the state party from allies of the former Senate majority leader, has spiraled into a flurry of resignations, embarrassing headlines and the creation of a fully operating shadow party.

The rift is threatening Democrats’ chances of defending a Senate seat in 2022 that they can’t afford to lose, in what’s already shaping up to be a back-breaking election cycle for the party. President Joe Biden won Nevada by only 2 percentage points — a far more narrow margin of victory than he enjoyed in Virginia, where Republicans romped in the gubernatorial race last week, and New Jersey, where the GOP came close to defeating the incumbent Democratic governor.

“So much time has been spent on this ongoing infighting. There’s not a lot of time until the election, and it’s really drawn resources and time and energy from recruiting a new slate of candidates and building those community bonds that you need,” said Shaun Navarro, former co-chair of the Las Vegas chapter of the Democratic Socialists of America, which helped elect the left-wing state party leadership. “These are the reasons people don’t like politics.”

https://www.politico.com/news/2021/11/07/nevada-democrats-harry-reid-machine-and-pro-sanders-forces-519919

[JohnSJ]

8. Absolutely, and identifying as socialists in Nevada will does not help us

[AZSkiffyGeek]

2. Perhaps AZ Dems should worry more about Kelly's seat

Than primarying Sinema...

[helpisontheway]

3. Not surprised. Nt

[Mad_Machine76]

5. Why does the mere fact

of Bernie supporters taking over party leadership throw things into some doubt? Are there discussions of a primary?

[JohnSJ]

7. Because they identify as socialists, and that will not endear most of Nevadans toward Democrats

[JohnSJ]

6. Is this really a surprise for exactly the reasons that the OP points out

[DFW]

9. The moment he won his seat, Warnock was in a fight to retain it.

There is no good reason Mark or Cortez-Masto should be in any danger. There are bad reasons why they are. Both stink.

[Elessar Zappa]

10. I'd be surprised if Kelly

doesn’t hold on to his seat. Of course I’ve been unpleasantly surprised before in politics so maybe I shouldn’t make a prediction.

[DFW]

11. I'm particularly involved in that race, so any optimism on my partis colored by wishful thinking

As a matter of fact, I spent almost half an hour on the phone with Cortez-Masto on Monday. She was fundraising, and the time sorta got away from us. She seems pretty sharp, too. I hadn't talked to her before. If there is any rift in the Nevada Democratic Party, and Harry Reid's people can't get enough done to hold on her seat, I will put the blame squarely on the newcomers. Reid was there a long time, and knew the political lay of his land better than almost anyone in that state. He knew what it took to be a Democrat in Nevada and hold onto a U.S. Senate seat there. The newcomers CAN always say, "we are running things now, so get lost," but "get lost" is very possibly exactly what will happen to our Senate seat of they do.