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PufPuf23

(8,845 posts)
Thu Dec 16, 2021, 07:17 PM Dec 2021

America Is Not Ready for Omicron

IMO The Atlantic is one of the best sources of journalism left.

America Is Not Ready for Omicron

The new variant poses a far graver threat at the collective level than the individual one—the kind of test that the U.S. has repeatedly failed.

By Ed Yong


Updated at 12:00 p.m. on December 16, 2021


America was not prepared for COVID-19 when it arrived. It was not prepared for last winter’s surge. It was not prepared for Delta’s arrival in the summer or its current winter assault. More than 1,000 Americans are still dying of COVID every day, and more have died this year than last. Hospitalizations are rising in 42 states. The University of Nebraska Medical Center in Omaha, which entered the pandemic as arguably the best-prepared hospital in the country, recently went from 70 COVID patients to 110 in four days, leaving its staff “grasping for resolve,” the virologist John Lowe told me. And now comes Omicron.


Will the new and rapidly spreading variant overwhelm the U.S. health-care system? The question is moot because the system is already overwhelmed, in a way that is affecting all patients, COVID or otherwise. “The level of care that we’ve come to expect in our hospitals no longer exists,” Lowe said.

The real unknown is what an Omicron cross will do when it follows a Delta hook. Given what scientists have learned in the three weeks since Omicron’s discovery, “some of the absolute worst-case scenarios that were possible when we saw its genome are off the table, but so are some of the most hopeful scenarios,” Dylan Morris, an evolutionary biologist at UCLA, told me. In any case, America is not prepared for Omicron. The variant’s threat is far greater at the societal level than at the personal one, and policy makers have already cut themselves off from the tools needed to protect the populations they serve. Like the variants that preceded it, Omicron requires individuals to think and act for the collective good—which is to say, it poses a heightened version of the same challenge that the U.S. has failed for two straight years, in bipartisan fashion.

The coronavirus is a microscopic ball studded with specially shaped spikes that it uses to recognize and infect our cells. Antibodies can thwart such infections by glomming onto the spikes, like gum messing up a key. But Omicron has a crucial advantage: 30-plus mutations that change the shape of its spike and disable many antibodies that would have stuck to other variants. One early study suggests that antibodies in vaccinated people are about 40 times worse at neutralizing Omicron than the original virus, and the experts I talked with expect that, as more data arrive, that number will stay in the same range. The implications of that decline are still uncertain, but three simple principles should likely hold.

article at : https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2021/12/america-omicron-variant-surge-booster/621027/

11 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
America Is Not Ready for Omicron (Original Post) PufPuf23 Dec 2021 OP
What country is, or was, 'prepared'? whathehell Dec 2021 #1
Bullshit mikeysnot Dec 2021 #2
Agree with you, Trump called cv19 a "hoax". PufPuf23 Dec 2021 #3
+1 uponit7771 Dec 2021 #8
Good article. n/t NH Ethylene Dec 2021 #4
Someone please explain... littlemissmartypants Dec 2021 #5
I assume it's boxing analogy. LisaL Dec 2021 #6
Ok, makes sense. Thanks. littlemissmartypants Dec 2021 #7
The UK is predicting the ENTIRE population will have been exposed to Omicron in the next vanlassie Dec 2021 #9
Antibody protection is only good until next mutated covid variant comes along. LisaL Dec 2021 #10
This thread Delphinus Dec 2021 #11

whathehell

(29,100 posts)
1. What country is, or was, 'prepared'?
Thu Dec 16, 2021, 07:32 PM
Dec 2021

Certainly not China, its apparent point of origin.. China even arrested the.first physician -- who later died of Covid -- for reporting it. Just a thought.

mikeysnot

(4,757 posts)
2. Bullshit
Thu Dec 16, 2021, 07:34 PM
Dec 2021

The trump misadmin failed miserably to lead… ignored the President Obama pandemic handbook and ignored all intelligence reports in 2019


PufPuf23

(8,845 posts)
3. Agree with you, Trump called cv19 a "hoax".
Thu Dec 16, 2021, 08:06 PM
Dec 2021

Blame for the sorry situation we are in is obviously not "bi-partisan".

The fact that the pandemic has been weaponized into a political issue is unfortunate. The GOP is far more to blame here too.

littlemissmartypants

(22,841 posts)
5. Someone please explain...
Thu Dec 16, 2021, 08:33 PM
Dec 2021

Is this some kind of sports analogy?

"an Omicron cross will do when it follows a Delta hook"

TIA

vanlassie

(5,693 posts)
9. The UK is predicting the ENTIRE population will have been exposed to Omicron in the next
Thu Dec 16, 2021, 08:54 PM
Dec 2021

two weeks. It’s good news bad news. It will create lots of antibody protection, but, a percentage will be very ill or die, and institutions can’t handle the load. Yep- we’re 2-3 weeks behind them. And….Christmas.

LisaL

(44,980 posts)
10. Antibody protection is only good until next mutated covid variant comes along.
Thu Dec 16, 2021, 09:37 PM
Dec 2021

Everybody getting infected at once is a nightmare.

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