Whenever the news shows the map of Ukraine, I shake my head in disbelief.
Putin is trying to take over a country about the size of Texas with a force of roughly 200,000 troops. He has these troops spread out for hundreds of miles. He is attacking from the North and east. His supply lines stretch for hundreds of miles.
The people of Ukraine have made it clear they will never surrender. When grandmothers are willing to take up arms against you, you have a problem.
The Ukraine army has grown in size. Thousands and thousands of anti-tank, anti-aircraft missiles have been delivered to the Ukraine military. More and more of these weapons are arriving everyday. Putin will not be able to stop the flow of arms into Ukraine
We can see from videos the Ukraine army is fighting in small groups across Ukraine. They are destroying tanks and aircraft one by one. They have killed thousands of Russian soldiers .
Putin has been trying to surround cities for over two weeks. If you have trouble surrounding cites, what is going to happen when you try to take those cities? It looks like Putin is hoping he can bomb, starve, the Ukrainian people until they surrender. They will not surrender. They will fight to the last man. You don't have to be a military expert to see what is going to happen to the Russian forces over time.
They will face hundreds, perhaps thousands of small groups of Ukrainian soldiers armed with thousands of missiles. They will attack the Russian soldiers everywhere across Ukraine with hit and run tactics. They will attack Russian supply lines. They will attack Russian patrols. Putin will eventually surround cities, lay siege to them. Those soldiers will come under attack from every direction. Yes, the Russians can kill hundreds of thousands of people. Yes, they can turn cities into ruble. That doesn't mean you are winning.
Putin must be reading the wrong history books. History tells us you can level a city, lay siege to it and the soldiers in that city will not give up. It can result in a stalemate. If you send forces in they will have to fight door to door. You will lose thousands of soldiers.
If this war continues on for months I can see Russian soldiers in certain cases getting cut off from supply lines, entrapped. I can see a Russian patrol make a wrong turn right into an ambush. Russian soldiers will never know when or where the next attack will come from. They will be demoralized.
Unless Putin has a secret plan that nobody knows about. We could be witnessing one of the biggest military blunders in history.
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