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kpete

(71,994 posts)
Mon Oct 29, 2012, 08:37 AM Oct 2012

LOL! Reality Challenged RW Media Still Reporting Romney +5 in Battleground Poll (cause-HUME Says So)

Battleground Tracking Poll: President Obama retakes lead

10/29/12 5:00 AM EDT

MARION, Ohio — With eight days to go until the election, President Barack Obama has recaptured a narrow national lead over Mitt Romney, riding increased support from women and an edge in early voting.

A new POLITICO/George Washington University Battleground Tracking Poll of 1,000 likely voters — taken from last Monday through Thursday — shows Obama ahead of Romney by 1 percent, 49 to 48 percent. That represents a 3-point swing in Obama’s direction from a week ago but reflects a race that remains statistically tied.

Read more: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1012/82986.html#ixzz2Agt6NKq3
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1012/82986.html?hp=f3



***********************

Romney 52, Obama 47
5:00 AM, OCT 29, 2012 • BY FRED BARNES

The bipartisan Battleground Poll, in its “vote election model,” is projecting that Mitt Romney will defeat President Obama 52 percent to 47 percent. The poll also found that Romney has an even greater advantage among middle class voters, 52 percent to 45 percent.

The projected outcome by the Battleground Poll is close to that of the Gallup Poll. Last week, Gallup said Romney leads Obama 49 percent to 46 percent in its model of the electorate’s composition on November 6.

The Battleground Poll is conducted by Goeas of the Tarrance Group and Celinda Lake of Lake Research Partners. Goeas is a Republican, Lake a Democrat. The survey is affiliated with Politico and George Washington University.



http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/new-poll-projects-romney-52-obama-47_658066.html

LOL. No link or anything, just the +5 result that Hume reported. If the real poll comes out, and it doesn't support your alternate reality, just pretend the result is whatever you want it to be!
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/29/1151963/-Reality-Challenged-RW-Media-Still-Reporting-Romney-5-in-Battleground-Poll
7 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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LOL! Reality Challenged RW Media Still Reporting Romney +5 in Battleground Poll (cause-HUME Says So) (Original Post) kpete Oct 2012 OP
What is this "vote election model"...? regnaD kciN Oct 2012 #1
Fred Barnes??? KharmaTrain Oct 2012 #2
Here is the question leading to this numbers, I think Mass Oct 2012 #3
I wonder who punk'd Hume that he reported that? WI_DEM Oct 2012 #4
Typical of the immature petulant children that they are... Hugin Oct 2012 #5
Link for 52% R to 47% Romney Projection skyabc Oct 2012 #6
The real poll came out over three hours ago! .... Obama 49, Romney 48. reformist2 Oct 2012 #7

regnaD kciN

(26,044 posts)
1. What is this "vote election model"...?
Mon Oct 29, 2012, 08:42 AM
Oct 2012

Did the poll itself mention it? Or is this a new way to "unskew" the poll -- simply add 6% to the Republican's margin?



KharmaTrain

(31,706 posts)
2. Fred Barnes???
Mon Oct 29, 2012, 08:42 AM
Oct 2012




I almost forgot about that loser...I guess they hide his smarmy mug in the faux asylum these days.

Their "reality" will surely claim that if President Obama wins that somehow he must have stolen the election as these "polls" are proof. The irony is I see the same thing happening on this side of the sandbox. If you're candidate loses, it's obviously due to some nefarious reason...

Mass

(27,315 posts)
3. Here is the question leading to this numbers, I think
Mon Oct 29, 2012, 09:05 AM
Oct 2012
Do you think you will vote to re-elect Barack Obama, will you consider voting for someone else, or do you
think you will vote to replace him?
Will vote to re-elect Obama .................................. 46%
Will consider someone else ....................................8%
Will vote to replace Obama .................................. 43%
UNSURE/REFUSED (DNR) .................................4%


So, according to them, considering someone else is adopting Romney? I doubt it.

Hugin

(33,148 posts)
5. Typical of the immature petulant children that they are...
Mon Oct 29, 2012, 09:49 AM
Oct 2012

Dragging around a favorite stuffed animal and throwing a tantrum.

skyabc

(1 post)
6. Link for 52% R to 47% Romney Projection
Mon Oct 29, 2012, 11:32 AM
Oct 2012

I found the info at link below:


https://mediarelations.gwu.edu/sites/mediarelations.gwu.edu/files/downloads/Republican%20Analysis_4.pdf

"In sum, this data indicates this election remains very close on the surface, but the political
environment and the composition of the likely electorate favor Governor Romney. These
factors come into play with our “vote election model” – which takes into account variables
like vote intensity, voters who say they are definite in their vote, and demographics like age
and education. In that snapshot of today’s vote model, Mitt Romney leads Barack Obama by
five-points – 52% to 47%. While that gap can certainly be closed by the ground game of the
Democrats, reports from the field would indicate that not to be the case, and Mitt Romney
may well be heading to a decisive victory."

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