According to Rasmussen, Romney needs to Win 56% of the Remaining Voters in OH to Win

[berni_mccoy]

Latest Rasmussen Ohio Poll is out, link is here: http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/ohio/election_2012_ohio_president

On the surface, it looks like Romney is pulling ahead, 50-48.

However, this tidbit is hidden in the poll:

Nearly one-in-three Ohio voters (32%) have already cast their ballots. Obama leads 62% to 36% among these voters. Romney has a large lead among those who still plan to vote.

Some quick math shows that for Romney to win Ohio, Romney needs to win the remaining 68% of the voters by a margin of 56-42 (we're only counting 98% because the poll shows 2% not voting or voting for a 3rd party).

The question then becomes, how much of a lead in the remaining electorate does Romney have. It's telling that Rasmussen indicated that he knew but did not say specifically.

[RomneyLies]

1. Scotty (R)asmussen knows but isn't telling

That should tell you all you need to know about this poll.

[tularetom]

2. Well, if the remaining voters break according to Romney's 50-48 split

Obama winds up with 62% of the 32% that have already voted plus 48% of the remaining 68%, or 52.5%. and

Romney winds up with 36% of the 32% plus 50% of the 68% that haven't yet voted, or 45.5%.

Even by Rasmussen's numbers, Romney is in a pretty deep hole and it seems pretty late for him to climb out.

[-LOKI -BAD FOR YA]

4. thanks great analysis ,i am sure robme has this info

meanwhile,faux distortion in is reporting .a nine point Enthusiasm Gap ,this is the value of the democrats who have voted and the repug who are extremely likely to vote,or GOP’s inherent advantage on voter turnout. this is convoluted thinking.the numbers you have shown us .make clear they have no hope. best regards

[treestar]

3. He seems openly wondering how Rmoney can win

Did he do equal analysis on how the President can win?