7 Point Shift! (+3 Approve -4 Disapprove) Obama over 50% again w/Gallup Approval/Disapproval today

[trailmonkee]

with Gallup, the Approval Rating is the only thing I look at Daily... Today was a very good day for Obama



http://www.gallup.com/home.aspx

[tbennett76]

1. "Is Gallup there?"

"This is Gallup."

"This is CVS Pharmacy. Your Prozac is ready."

[Tutonic]

4. Now that was comedy GOLD!!!

[Wildcat1955]

2. Strange

Yet, he loses a percentage point in likely voters. Intuitively, one would think there would be a positive correlation between approval and preference.

[Honeycombe8]

3. I have noticed that there hasn't been. It's strange. I think some people want change...

regardless of whether they approve of Obama's job. And some people don't, even if they don't approve of the job he's doing. Strange.

[CoffeeCat]

5. In my opinion, Gallup is unreliable...

... And not to be trusted.

They seem to be a tool used to validate Republican talking points--while most polls show very different results.

Gallup has Zromney leading Obama with likey voters by 7 points. I do not believe that at all.

They can fiddle with these national numbers all they want. What matters is the state polls in key swing states.

Obama is ahead in nearly every critical swing state, and tied in a couple. Obama keeps trending ahead in these state polls. He has a 4 point lead now in VA; an a solid 3 point lead in OH.

[Indykatie]

6. Gallup Will Become More Reality Based as Election Nears

as will other repub leaning pollsters. They don't want to be tagged as being outliers in the end. I don't think the polls are tightening I think Gallup has screwed around with the LV methodology to yield so wide a gap between PBO approval numbers and the head to head race.

[CoffeeCat]

7. That's exactly right...

...and it's a relief to see that others see through Gallup and Rasmussen and their tactics. It is very clear. But so many don't see it. One clue was Mitt's manufactured "momentum." It was a last-gasp attempt to tighten the swing states before e-day.

As you explained, these pollsters can't lose all credibility. As e-day draws near, they have to work their numbers back to reality. If they're too far off in the days before the election, people will remember and the poll's credibility is be tainted.

These polls can only be used as propaganda tools for so long. If anything, all of this (especially the manufactured momentum) is a real clue that Romney is losing and he knows he's losing. Same with all of the bluffing about close polls. It's getting ridiculous at this point, but you can't fault them for trying, I guess.

I agree with you, that most of the national polls will continue to move in Obama's favor--back to reality.

I'll never understand how the right bamboozled their fans into putting so much stock in the national polls anyway. They hang onto them like toddlers with pacifiers. It's the state polls that matter. And clearly, Obama is ahead in most of the swing states, and he will win Ohio.

Thanks for your thoughts. I look forward to watching all of these polls move upward for Obama.

[yellowdogintexas]

8. I was called in that time period !

I am in that poll!

[trailmonkee]

10. Thanks!

[reformist2]

9. A multi-day tracking poll that bounces around like that isn't worth s***.