In Pennsylvania, the Democratic Lean Is Slight, but Durable

[babsbunny]

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/29/in-pennsylvania-the-democratic-lean-is-slight-but-durable/

By MICAH COHEN

We continue our Presidential Geography series, a one-by-one examination of each state’s political landscape and how it is changing. Here is Pennsylvania, the Keystone State. FiveThirtyEight spoke with Terry Madonna, a professor of public affairs and director of the Franklin & Marshall College Poll; and Marc Meredith, an assistant professor of political science at the University of Pennsylvania.

New reports indicate that the 2012 presidential campaign is coming to Pennsylvania. After a spate of advertising during the summer, Pennsylvania — in a break from tradition — has largely avoided the volume of campaign commercials that states like Ohio and Virginia have seen.

[doc03]

1. I read that earlier, not a good sign at all n/t

[dennis4868]

2. Is PA really in play?

Please tell me NO! I cannot live in a world with a president Romney

[WI_DEM]

3. They tried to say it was competitve in 2008, too. I have no doubt it will be closer than '08

but I think Obama will win it. He won by almost 700,000 votes in 2008, and I think he will take it by over 300,000 this time.