General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsBREAKING: California's State Assembly has passed a constitutional amendment enshrining abortion and
Last edited Mon Jun 27, 2022, 07:06 PM - Edit history (1)
https://assembly.ca.gov/media/chamber-
The amendment needs two-thirds support to pass the Assembly. If it passes, it then goes to California voters on the November ballot. #SCA10
BREAKING: California's State Assembly has passed a constitutional amendment enshrining abortion and contraception rights into the state's constitution. This will now go to voters on the November ballot. If passes, it will become law. #SCA10
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SheltieLover
(57,073 posts)Response to demmiblue (Original post)
Chin music This message was self-deleted by its author.
Aristus
(66,381 posts)He's going to have a slightly harder time of it than California, since Washington is only blue west of the Cascades. East of the mountains is Trump country.
Congratulations to the people of California!
mopinko
(70,118 posts)this will bring out more voters than the weed referendums.
AZSkiffyGeek
(11,026 posts)They only have about 10 days though and they arent blanketing the Phoenix area. Ill be looking for a place to sign next weekend. It seems to have been put together last month after the opinion leaked.
David__77
(23,419 posts)And craft provisions accounting for state specific considerations.
Mr.Bill
(24,300 posts)being a slam dunk.
Auggie
(31,173 posts)Mr.Bill
(24,300 posts)the Latino vote, which is huge, is mostly Catholic and very against abortion, and some even against contraception. Also keep in mind the anti abortion campaign against it will have unlimited funding. I think it has a chance of passing, but like I said, not a slam dunk.
FreeState
(10,572 posts)Its a done deal if it gets to the ballot.
Mr.Bill
(24,300 posts)would be in favor of gay marriage, too, but that failed at the ballot in 2008. Same ballot where we elected Obama.
FreeState
(10,572 posts)Most were just over 50.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2008_California_Proposition_8
Mr.Bill
(24,300 posts)FreeState
(10,572 posts)Mr.Bill
(24,300 posts)2,300 people. 3,400 before they threw out the ones who weren't registered voters or didn't live in California.
FreeState
(10,572 posts)There many polls That show support between 70-90% marriage was never that high.
Google will find those for you.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)The most recent Gallup poll shows support at 71%.
Stargleamer
(1,989 posts)Mr.Bill
(24,300 posts)I've lived here since 1961.
What I think happened with Prop 8 was the amount of money that went into supporting it. (Mormon church money) I mean there were more yard signs, junk mail and TV commercials than I remember seeing for just about any other ballot initiative ever.
NullTuples
(6,017 posts)And they had lots of funding to plaster ads for something that really didn't directly affect most voters in any way.
Just A Box Of Rain
(5,104 posts)That is a slam dunk in my estimation.
Mr.Bill
(24,300 posts)and we take it for granted at our own peril.
Just A Box Of Rain
(5,104 posts)but I very much disagree about it being a close vote.
Even among conservative GOP voters here in CA there are many with small-government libertarian impulses who are against interference with abortion rights.
And among the large majority who are Democrats? Massive support.
No way this will be close.
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)I learned in a college class that a very powerful man I'd never heard of, on the conservative/business side, was famous for saying he could get "anything" passed via ballot initiatives -- which allow citizens to bypass the professionals they elected to government and pass their own laws directly. "Power to the people!" Oh, yeah.
Of course, special interests use this process to trick people into making laws so extreme or dysfunctional that even Republican legislators wouldn't touch them, in the past anyway. California passed some real doozies while we were still there. Also things a legislative majority may want passed but don't want to own, but these days people can at least google to see what's being said about them.
Mr.Bill
(24,300 posts)our Attorney General at the time, Dan Lungren (R) said he refused to recognize the results of the election because "the voters were tricked"
That began the downslide of his state-wide political career. He was the last republican Attorney General in California and lost a race for governor.
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)and ate him and the Republican Party after they deluded citizens into passing it by a large majority.
Speaking of finally managing to catch the bus by tricking the people,...Dobbs. I read that 1 out of 5 men has been involved in getting an abortion.
Elessar Zappa
(14,004 posts)I live in New Mexico and I guarantee you that a majority of Hispanics here support choice.
Mr.Bill
(24,300 posts)on any one issue. Many politicians have found that out the hard way. Likewise with African American voters. I don't know the persentages, but it would be foolish to think they would all vote one way or another on this or any other issue.
TwilightZone
(25,471 posts)https://www.nbcnews.com/news/latino/poll-majority-latinos-battleground-states-support-abortion-rights-gun-rcna35069
https://morningconsult.com/opinions/republicans-think-they-can-court-hispanic-votes-with-their-position-on-abortion-but-data-tells-a-different-story/
https://www.latinainstitute.org/en/latinopoll
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Question 4.
https://drive.google.com/file/d/11sqgIPxDe-boYNS2yUgEfaax7-I--i1v/view
And most lay Catholics are pro-choice:
According to the new poll, 63% of Catholic adults say abortion should be legal in all or most cases, and 68% say Roe should be ...
https://apnews.com/article/abortion-us-supreme-court-religion-government-and-politics-a43a25ff7ffe1e340c26f985de7df95a
Texaswitchy
(2,962 posts)The younger generation are not so church going.
One of neighbors daughter spoke Spanish and worked at PP.
A lot of young Latino women came for birth control and abortions.
wryter2000
(46,051 posts)It's a done deal. You can take this to the bank.
Colbert
(46 posts)Last December, Planned Parenthood put abortion support among likely voters at 62%; and that's enough to get the amendment passed. But how far along do they support unfettered abortion access:
- first trimester
- second trimester
- third trimester
- until the head of the fetus emerges
- until the umbilical cord is cut
Think about the political arguments the opposition is going to make based upon the text of the amendment, and how those arguments will be received:
Sympthsical
(9,074 posts)It will pass.
Then we'll get exit polls and demographics of who did and didn't vote for it.
Then we will fight about it.
A lot.
Mr.Bill
(24,300 posts)YoshidaYui
(41,831 posts)Just A Box Of Rain
(5,104 posts)Now it is onto the ballot in November.
I'll be voting for it then. As will my teen-aged son who will have a historic opportunity in the first election in which he has the franchise.
The nationwide battle is only beginning.
AntiFascist
(12,792 posts)ancianita
(36,063 posts)TwilightZone
(25,471 posts)ancianita
(36,063 posts)Totally Tunsie
(10,885 posts)follow MA Governor Charlie Baker in issuing an EO strengthening women's healthcare and reproductive rights in the state. He also signed a new budget which includes additional funding for women's health issues. Good day in RI.
Hekate
(90,714 posts)The ban against gay marriage came in completely under my radar while at the same time we were electing the first black president of the US. To say I feel like doing this is a roll of the dice is an understatement.
see my posts 6 and 16.
And you raise a good point about the gay marriage vote.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2008_California_Proposition_8
This state is more diverse than some think.
xxqqqzme
(14,887 posts)the rethuglicans have ballot qualified a measure that would make it illegal to terminate the pregnancy of a minor without a parents consent. Out of state money poured into rethug coffers each time.
It was soundly defeated both times
barbtries
(28,798 posts)California still home, almost 15 years after moving to NC.
cstanleytech
(26,293 posts)goes even more extremist and declares it completely illegal?
speak easy
(9,259 posts)and a fetus has Constitutional rights, we are looking at the dissolution of the Union
cstanleytech
(26,293 posts)that a person has to be born to be a citizen and a fetus is no more a citizen than an unfertilized egg is.
speak easy
(9,259 posts)Abortion is Unconstitutional Because Unborn Children are Persons Under the 14th Amendment
https://www.lifenews.com/2021/07/30/abortion-is-unconstitutional-because-unborn-children-are-persons-under-the-14th-amendment/
malthaussen
(17,202 posts)It's becoming clear that, in some minds, fetuses are, and women aren't.
Which raises a question: what if the fetus is female? (okay, okay, will eventually develop into a female)
-- Mal
tishaLA
(14,176 posts)And my assemblyman, who's Latino in a heavily Latino district, has been very vocal about it, too.
Mr.Bill
(24,300 posts)SleeplessinSoCal
(9,123 posts)Come on DC. Get cracking!
Magoo48
(4,712 posts)SunSeeker
(51,564 posts)xxqqqzme
(14,887 posts)is my assemblywoman.
I knew we could depend on her
TeamProg
(6,139 posts)Meowmee
(5,164 posts)But someone will likely challenge it and it will go sc where they will overturn it.
CaptainTruth
(6,594 posts)I'm no legal expert on these matters, but I do know there have been SCOTUS decisions where, when the issues at hand didn't contradict the Federal Constitution, SCOTUS ruled that the State Constitution prevailed.
I remember this specifically in cases challenging gerrymandering. There's nothing in the US Constitution that prevents it, so in some states lawsuits against partisan gerrymandering failed in SCOTUS, but in at least 1 case the gerrymandering violated the State Constitution so SCOTUS struck it down.
gldstwmn
(4,575 posts)AlexSFCA
(6,139 posts)Abortions rights have huge support in CA, probably among all demographics. I am sure will see some crazy opposition ads though from anti choice lunatics.
This issue is guaranteed to increase turnout to presidential election levels. This will be helpful for some house seats in particular.
ffr
(22,670 posts)Elect democrats. Do everything to elect democrats. Elect democrats as though your life depended on you casting your vote for democrats.
If you don't know who the democrats are in an election, WWW to your county democratic party. They will have a list of them, usually down to each ward.
Oscarthegreat
(121 posts)California native here. I've been hearing daily, for quite a while now, from people from all over the country how California is the only US state worth living in. I live in beautiful Carmel-by the Sea and I can only apologize for the high housing costs which would prevent many Red states refugees, particularly women, from moving out here from their s#*t hole states. You are in our hearts and minds.
NullTuples
(6,017 posts)When you see a bill that protects women, LGBTQ people, trans kids, and so on...it's likely her name is on it.