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Wed Aug 3, 2022, 05:00 PM

So does Kansas change the narrative any on the House ?

Before last nightís glorious result in Kansas, it was just a GIVEN by every media person and outlet that the Dems have absolutely no chance at keeping the House of Representatives this November.
Iím just wondering if Kansas will just be considered a one off on only one issue or if itís a shining beacon that thereís hope of keeping the House especially since the generic ballot polling on which party should control Congress continues to trend in the Dems direction. 😃

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Reply So does Kansas change the narrative any on the House ? (Original post)
Funtatlaguy Aug 2022 OP
wryter2000 Aug 2022 #1
asiliveandbreathe Aug 2022 #2
localroger Aug 2022 #3
hvn_nbr_2 Aug 2022 #4
Funtatlaguy Aug 2022 #6
Demsrule86 Aug 2022 #5
Funtatlaguy Aug 2022 #7
uponit7771 Aug 2022 #8

Response to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Wed Aug 3, 2022, 05:12 PM

1. I don't know

But I think the Dems running for the House now know they should pound on this issue.

Imagine what the person running against Turtleman* can use*

*Turtleman is the R who kept asking a witness if a woman ever gave birth to something not human...like a turtle.

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Wed Aug 3, 2022, 05:18 PM

2. We the people changed the narrative with our vote....we own the rethugs...Now, look around

Assholes...my body, my vote..big mistake, HUGE!!!!

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Wed Aug 3, 2022, 05:23 PM

3. The House is iffier than the Senate

House districts are small enough that they can be much more cray-cray, which is how people like Boebert and Margy 3-names get elected. But a big takeaway is that traditional tools like the midterm rule of thumb and the generic ballot aren't worth the water you use to piss on them any more. Even those of us who somewhat expected Roe to fall one day didn't expect it this soon or with this much gleeful contempt for those who object. If even in Kansas 20% of Republican voters voted no on the issue, it's a solid loser for any Republican who dares touch it with an 11 foot pole.

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Wed Aug 3, 2022, 05:27 PM

4. CorpoPravda (AKA "MSM" ) will minimize, ignore, distort, ...

Their certainty about Dems loosing this year is based on their own wishful thinking. CorpoPravda would gladly throw away democracy and embrace a fascist dictatorship if it promised lower corporate taxes.

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Response to hvn_nbr_2 (Reply #4)

Wed Aug 3, 2022, 07:38 PM

6. CorpoPravda 😂. Love that.

The meme that the right wing shouted to the hills of a ďliberal media ď has never been true.
The corporations and their stockholders ONLY care about dying with the most amount of money possible.
How they get it and whom they harm including the planet is of no concern to them. Sigh.

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Wed Aug 3, 2022, 06:15 PM

5. I never thought that was the case...the media doesn't understand the power of Roe...and it won't

show up in the polls...in Kansas, the polls showed the Yes vote winning within a couple of points...completely wrong.

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Response to Demsrule86 (Reply #5)

Wed Aug 3, 2022, 07:40 PM

7. Here's the highly respected Cook Report from today.

https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/house-race-ratings

And Born to run the numbers currently gives the Dems only a 2% chance to keep the House but a 58% chance to keep the Senate.
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/

Nate Silver is more optimistic for theDems with a 19% chance to keep the House.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/house/

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Wed Aug 3, 2022, 09:24 PM

8. Yes, Pro life candidates will now double down ... just heard rep analyst say this on Lemon show

These people are stupid to the nth degree and they'll do anything

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