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What's your electoral college prediction? (Original Post) Fearless Nov 2012 OP
I predict Romney will win some of the EVs, but Obama will win more of them. nt Speck Tater Nov 2012 #1
303 to 235 ananda Nov 2012 #2
I Will Make It Easy.... SingleSeatBiggerMeat Nov 2012 #3
AMEN.. 270 ..all extra is gravy.. and without Ohio SoCalDem Nov 2012 #18
i predict lots of door knocking today and tomorrow! struggle4progress Nov 2012 #4
318 to 220 barbtries Nov 2012 #5
I don't care what it is general, as long as O. wins, but a landslide would be fantastic. codjh9 Nov 2012 #6
328- 210 NightWatcher Nov 2012 #7
303! FSogol Nov 2012 #8
I come up with O 343, R 195 DJ13 Nov 2012 #9
303 - 235 DMacTX Nov 2012 #10
347-191 Obama. This is Nate Silver's current + FL & NC. berni_mccoy Nov 2012 #11
Ditto! faithfulcitizen Nov 2012 #14
I'm Sayin' It: 363-175 Obama The_Counsel Nov 2012 #12
303-235 OBAMA Carly Nov 2012 #13
Brilliant minds think alike RoccoR5955 Nov 2012 #15
I would avoid manholes then if I were you!! Fearless Nov 2012 #17
Another 303-235 here! Lucy Goosey Nov 2012 #16
Copycat! joeybee12 Nov 2012 #19
Uh-oh! Fearless Nov 2012 #21
290 for Obama, 248 for Romney. Pab Sungenis Nov 2012 #20
Obama 304 to 234 Romney. yardwork Nov 2012 #22
Obama 323 Romney 215 standingtall Nov 2012 #23
281-257 Obama n/t geardaddy Nov 2012 #24
274 -264 Filibuster Harry Nov 2012 #25
Obama 347, Asshole 191 Zoeisright Nov 2012 #26
303-235 ProudToBeBlueInRhody Nov 2012 #27
I go with Obama winning some of the smaller swing states hopeforthebest Nov 2012 #28
This message was self-deleted by its author NRaleighLiberal Nov 2012 #30
I think Obama's going to win Ohio. Warren DeMontague Nov 2012 #34
Heres mine Polldancer2012 Nov 2012 #29
281-257 Obama takes NH, OH, WI, IA, NV Viking12 Nov 2012 #31
Obama 347 EVs, election called at 11:15 EST tomorrow night. rationale below NRaleighLiberal Nov 2012 #32
312-226 Obama Ganja Ninja Nov 2012 #33
307-231 Obama. Tommy_Carcetti Nov 2012 #35
Obama will win majorly.. charles2012 Nov 2012 #36

NightWatcher

(39,343 posts)
7. 328- 210
Mon Nov 5, 2012, 03:24 PM
Nov 2012

I think Florida will go for us as will VA, CO, OH, WI
I give R$ NC and the ones that 270towin.com already has for him.

I love tinkering on that site

The_Counsel

(1,660 posts)
12. I'm Sayin' It: 363-175 Obama
Mon Nov 5, 2012, 03:31 PM
Nov 2012

For some reason I still think Obama could "steal" Georgia by virtue of high turnout in the Atlanta area. He damn-near pulled this off the last time and early voter turnout is ahead of the 2008 pace last I checked.

But all that aside, the President could lose all of FL, OH, GA, NC and VA and STILL win the election. I like our chances.

Carly

(39 posts)
13. 303-235 OBAMA
Mon Nov 5, 2012, 03:31 PM
Nov 2012

I also see 290-248 as a possibility too if Romney wins VA. I gave FL to Romney in both scenarios. While I think Obama will win FL, I don't ever see anything being fair there.

At any rate, I don't see Romney winning at all. I still feel like I am going to throw up but I feel we have this.

 

RoccoR5955

(12,471 posts)
15. Brilliant minds think alike
Mon Nov 5, 2012, 03:33 PM
Nov 2012

That is my prediction exactly.

When do they start calling it a mandate, or can it be a womandate, since I am heterosexual?

yardwork

(61,711 posts)
22. Obama 304 to 234 Romney.
Mon Nov 5, 2012, 03:51 PM
Nov 2012

It could be even higher for Obama. I have him losing Virginia and North Carolina and he could win either or even both.

standingtall

(2,787 posts)
23. Obama 323 Romney 215
Mon Nov 5, 2012, 03:56 PM
Nov 2012

Only because I don't feel good about Colorado, but if Obama picks up that one it's 332.

Filibuster Harry

(666 posts)
25. 274 -264
Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:04 PM
Nov 2012

I predicted in early October that President Obama would win re-election 274 -264.

In that scenario I had the president winning Ohio, Pa, NH, Nevada, and Colorado but losing NC, Wisconsin, Iowa, Virginia, and Florida.

Now I am not so sure about NH(4) or Colorado (9) but he can and hopefully will win Wisconsin (10) and Iowa (6).

So I will stay with my original 274 -264 but it looks more like 277-261.


All I want is a win. A win is a win no matter what the score.


hopeforthebest

(26 posts)
28. I go with Obama winning some of the smaller swing states
Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:09 PM
Nov 2012

but with Rethuggies fighting electoral decisions tooth and nail, the bigger ones don't look so bright.

Best case scenario: Obama 318 to Romney 220
Worst case scenario: Romney 276 to Obama 262
How I think it will end: Obama 272 to Romney 266 (Obama loses Ohio, Florida, NC and VA, but gains all other swing states)

Response to hopeforthebest (Reply #28)

 

Polldancer2012

(88 posts)
29. Heres mine
Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:11 PM
Nov 2012

I believe one of these 3 options will be the final.

O 281 R257

Romney comes back to take Va, In, Co and Fl. Obama holds Ohio.

O 303 R235

Obama holds Co and Va but loses Fl and In.

And to cover all possibilities:

R 275 O 263

This is the most likely of a really unlikely outcome. Romney takes Fl, Va, Oh, Co and In.

If I were an odds maker I'd set the odds at 2:1 PBO

Ganja Ninja

(15,953 posts)
33. 312-226 Obama
Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:13 PM
Nov 2012

Romney will not have good showing and even some red states will be tighter than expected.

charles2012

(1 post)
36. Obama will win majorly..
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 05:02 PM
Nov 2012

Presidential Prediction 2012:

Obama - 347
Romney - 191

Obama will win the swing states.
The demographics will show up huge for Obama.

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