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Amishman

(5,559 posts) Tue Nov 8, 2022, 11:49 AM Nov 2022

Pub early morning turnout reportedly very strong in Maricopa AZ - FALSE ALARM

Link to tweet

Local elections guy for AZ TV station (fairly reputable source) reporting !!60%!! pubs so far this morning in Maricopa.

FALSE ALARM

Link to tweet

sorry, this guy is usually very reliable. followed him closely in the 2018 epic senate race

5 replies

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Pub early morning turnout reportedly very strong in Maricopa AZ - FALSE ALARM (Original Post) Amishman Nov 2022 OP

We knew more of them would vote on election day though. Claustrum Nov 2022 #1

can't say, but its definitely alarming Amishman Nov 2022 #2

That's true. Even assuming independent voters split 50/50 (which they won't), Claustrum Nov 2022 #3

looks like it was a false alarm, primary data getting accidentally reported to him as today's number Amishman Nov 2022 #4

Definitely!!!! Claustrum Nov 2022 #5

Claustrum

(4,846 posts)

1. We knew more of them would vote on election day though.

Reply to Amishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 8, 2022, 11:51 AM

Nov 2022

Is 60% enough for them?

Amishman

(5,559 posts)

2. can't say, but its definitely alarming

Reply to Claustrum (Reply #1)

Tue Nov 8, 2022, 12:02 PM

Nov 2022

given that AZ has a lot of independents, who would be in the other 40% along with our voters.

Claustrum

(4,846 posts)

3. That's true. Even assuming independent voters split 50/50 (which they won't),

Reply to Amishman (Reply #2)

Tue Nov 8, 2022, 12:08 PM

Nov 2022

We are looking at a 70/30 which indeed is alarming.

Amishman

(5,559 posts)

4. looks like it was a false alarm, primary data getting accidentally reported to him as today's number

Reply to Claustrum (Reply #3)

Tue Nov 8, 2022, 12:10 PM

Nov 2022

whew!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Claustrum

(4,846 posts)

5. Definitely!!!!

Reply to Amishman (Reply #4)

Tue Nov 8, 2022, 12:11 PM

Nov 2022

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