Ralston NV this morning: "if the trend continues, she [CCM] is going to win."

[honest.abe]

Jon Ralston @RalstonReports

Bottom line: This first batch of 35K mail ballots shows a partisan breakdown that strongly favors CCM, and if the trend continues, she is going to win.

But miles to go before I can finally sleep, and we will know a LOT when Clark/Washoe post tonight.

There are alot numbers flying around his twitter account but the bottom line CCM is likely to win.

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports

[triron]

1. Waiting is nerve wracking.

[honest.abe]

2. Indeed. Its like watching grass grow.

Must be the slowest vote count in history.

[wryter2000]

18. I think someone here said

NV has to accept mail in votes until tomorrow. We might not know until Sunday or Monday.

[onetexan]

3. I'm confident CCM w remain in the Senate🙏🤞

🇺🇸🇺🇸

[triron]

4. Happy for you. I still feel jittery.

[onetexan]

20. Ralston is on msnbc mentioning every time there's been a drop she's been getting 60% so she's

looking pretty good. Sisolak OTOH is too far behind

[CurtEastPoint]

5. Catherine Cortez Masto, for those who don't know what this means, like me...

I had to look it up.

[honest.abe]

8. Sorry, I though most everyone knew that acronym who follows NV politics.

My tired old fingers need typing shortcuts!

[CurtEastPoint]

21. I get it. AOC etc. I know but being a Georgian, I didn't. I hope she wins.

[Johnny2X2X]

6. Fantastic

It would take some really weird statistical fluke for her to lose at this point.

Ralston is the absolute authority on this, and he's pretty cautious.

I think Nevada will be called for CCM this weekend.

[honest.abe]

9. Yep. Looks like we still have a couple days to confirm this.

It will be a huge relief!

[Johnny2X2X]

10. Excellent chance she takes the lead tonight

After that I will feel relief.

Seems like the pundits are pointing at all the red counties that still have some votes out there too, but those are tiny counties, you're talking hundreds of votes yet in those counties while tens of thousands remain in the 2 biggest and bluest counties.

[honest.abe]

14. Yeah that would great if she could take the lead tonight.

[wryter2000]

19. God, I hope so.

I'll breathe a bit easier.

[onetexan]

22. i'm hoping that both Kelly & CCM w be called so it's clear going into the GA runoff whose in charge

[PatSeg]

7. Oh, please, please, please, make it so!

[kentuck]

11. It would be nice.

To see her win NV and Kelly win AZ would be instant relief. We would not have to sweat out the election in GA for the next month.

[honest.abe]

15. Indeed.

We do not want to be in a position to have Senate control depending on the GA runoff. Although it did work out last time.

[grantcart]

12. Washoe numbers were good too

[Vinca]

13. That would be so sweet. Fingers crossed. Toes, too.

[wryter2000]

16. This man

Is keeping me sane. I so want Warnock to be our 51st Senator.

[honest.abe]

17. No kidding. I hang on his every comment.

[triron]

23. When is the next dump?

[honest.abe]

24. Tonight. Maybe around 6pm their time.

Not entirely sure though the time.

[LeftInTX]

25. No offense, but he's kinda hard to follow...I can't find anything on Wasserman's feed...

Currently Laxalt is 8,988 ahead...(Noon CST on the AP site and based on this morning's additional tabulation)

I found this on Ralston's twitter:

Link to tweet

?s=20&t=lGn1tA5E3Zqwxaz7BQm46g

Please click link to read entire thread of 7 posts.

I prefer Wasserman because Wasserman does just one thing. (Not that one is better than the other, it's a personal preference) I'm not familiar with Ralston

[honest.abe]

26. Agreed he can be hard to follow at times.

Many of his posts are cryptic and vague but this one I just posted was pretty clear.