South Carolina??? CNN is calling it for Romney - but Obama has more votes. I don't understand this

[patricia92243]

[JelloBiafra1]

1. Calm down, they are using the exit polls. Thought they stopped doing that since 2004.

[TM99]

2. Noticed this as well.

Yeah, I just got home and have begun to follow things at DU and the news outlets.

I wonder what is up with that?!

[Dreamwithnolove]

3. I notice that too...

I'm still scratching my head....

[confoosed]

4. I think it's poll results

plus exit polls.

[TM99]

5. That makes sense

though I am really starting to hate polls and pollsters!

All of this 'predicting' is just propaganda compared to the actual mathematics of it all.

[unblock]

6. they compare results against expectations based on precincts.

if obama gets 60% in precincts where he was expected to get 70% of the vote, that doesn't bode well for him in the state as a whole.

that, of course, is just an adjustment to the pre-election polling. if the state was expected to go 60% for rmoney, then they'll quickly call it for rmoney unless they see some surprising numbers for obama early.

[NV Whino]

7. Only 1% of the vote is in.

[Travelman]

8. What I posted in another thread:

At least how I understand it, the networks call states based upon exit polling, but the returns that you see crawling on the screen are including early voting, absentee, etc., as each precinct reports in to that state's secretary of state (or who ever it is in charge of that in each respective state).

As such, and I've seen this before, candidate A shows up 60% to 40% over candidate B on the returns on the screen, but they call the race for candidate B, because the 3% of precincts that happen to have reported are all heavy candidate A precincts, but candidate B absolutely owns the other 97% of the precincts in the state.