55% OF VOTES IN - Raphael Warnock* +50.9% NYT

[Donkees]

Last edited Tue Dec 6, 2022, 09:32 PM - Edit history (8)

[calguy]

1. I'm seeing 31% in with Warnock at 62.9$

[Johnny2X2X]

2. 62-38 with 32% in

Warnock is outperforming a November by all accounts so far.

[Johnny2X2X]

3. MSNBC

FYI, MSNBC has the most up to date numbers usually.

https://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/amp/live-blog/rcna59595

[Donkees]

5. I've been looking at NYT

[Tetrachloride]

18. Beware of the music

[declanwxyz]

4. Looking good so far

Just wish we could have gotten to 52 to freeze out sinema and manchin entirely but hey can't get too greedy.

[Johnny2X2X]

6. Doesn't really matter now with the House being GOP

51 gets us judges more quickly though.

[NoRethugFriends]

9. Uh, which matters a lot

[Beautiful Disaster]

10. It always matters. Incumbents defend far better than non-incumbent parties.

Had Democrats won Wisconsin in 2016, it's almost certain they hang onto it in 2022. But Johnson won and was able to BARELY hang onto it in 2022.

Conversely, had Toomey ran in 2022 in PA, he very well hangs onto that seat.

It does matter for future elections.

[declanwxyz]

11. Yeah that is the biggest reason

Sinema or Manchin could hold us over a barrel like they always do to get what they want in concessions.

[JohnSJ]

13. Yes, and we control the committees. It is surprising that many don't realize how important winning

Georgia for Warnock is

The attitude by some, “it doesn’t matter because of the House” is a false narrative

[Johnny2X2X]

15. Doesn't matter with sinema and Manchin

They won’t be tanking anything. Every piece of legislation will be bipartisan. 51 is great for committees and judges. But 52 means little in terms of Manchin and Sinema.

[JohnSJ]

16. It is a big deal whether you subscribe to it or not

[Johnny2X2X]

17. Sinema and Manchin no longer have any power

That’s what the post was positing. That if we had 52 Sinema and Manchin wouldn’t be able to take the agenda. Well they lost their power to two the agenda when the Reps took the House. Of course I’d want 52 or 60, but Sinema and Manchin no longer matter with 50 or 51.

[angrychair]

7. Not going to lie

Little worried. Walker's number is growing fast.

It just a shock to my senses that anyone willingly votes for that idiot Walker I guess.

[Hav]

12. Yeah, I'm watching MSNBC

and they going through some small counties where Walker seems to outperform his November results.
Warnock seems to outperform in some of the big blue counties, too.

[angrychair]

14. Still believe Warnock will win

But it should absolutely not be this close

[Johnny2X2X]

8. Keep in mind.

Warnock will take a big lead because early ballots are counted first. Then Walker will come back some. And the. Warnock will finish string with in person voting in the big cities being counted last.

But I don’t think Walker will ever lead tonight like he did in November.

[Donkees]

19. ''Probably Warnock 77% CHANCE OF WINNING'' NYT