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Mordred

(154 posts)
Tue Dec 6, 2022, 10:11 PM Dec 2022

Kornacki is not framing this correctly

Walker and Warnock are not both improving vote shares from November, they are dividing the Libertarian vote share from November (Oliver) with Warnock generally getting more of it than Walker. I think Warnock will eventually pull away from Walker.

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RockRaven

(14,974 posts)
1. But he's apparently keeping people anxiety-watching, so he IS framing it correctly.....
Tue Dec 6, 2022, 10:14 PM
Dec 2022

That's the business model. Sounds like he's knocking it out of the park.

 

Beautiful Disaster

(667 posts)
5. I think he'll lead - not sure he'll pull away.
Tue Dec 6, 2022, 10:19 PM
Dec 2022

I don't think Warnock is going to win this by 5+ or so. It'll be by a point or two.

Fiendish Thingy

(15,624 posts)
6. Are you saying the 800,000 who didn't vote in November, but voted in runoff are libertarians?
Tue Dec 6, 2022, 10:21 PM
Dec 2022

Because that just doesn’t make sense.

And, Fulton and DeKalb are only at around 50%

I’ll stick with Kornacki.

grantcart

(53,061 posts)
7. He consistently says that both improved but Warnock improved more
Tue Dec 6, 2022, 10:21 PM
Dec 2022

and that Walker is way underperforming Kemp numbers and where he needs to be to win

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