January will be exceptionally bumpy

[Bernardo de La Paz]

* There could be orange indictments. I'd rate likelihood as on up side of moderate, but not by much. If not January then each successive month becomes more likely. Could be Georgia or Special Counsel or both. But not December because, unlike Mollusk, even SCs are aware of sensitivity about firing or otherwise disturbing the Holiday season. Indict before Christmas? No, it goes "Twas the night before Christmas".

* December test runs at electric infrastructure may presage January waves.

* Could be big J6 cracks or breaks or bus accidents. RepubliQon members of the House could be indicted or subpoenaed. This months Meadows comms release signals big trouble has arrived at Donald's office doorstep and his domestic hearth doorstep (Meadows and Junior).

* Ukraine winter offensive will start or already be underway. It's been comparatively stable for a few weeks now. Russia may surprise with a re-offensive first, but I doubt it.

* Winter European energy crunch will be biting and there will be lots of unhappy people there.

* New Congress with New Ingredient: energized gungho nutzoid RepubliQonners who think they have the wind in their sails and the voice of the people behind them. They will overplay their hand more than once.

* January often sets the tone in the stock markets for the year.

* China will be immersed in a full bore pandemic because a) it is ramping up already, b) little natural immunity due to zero-Covid, c) Chinese vaccines are lousy until you have 3 shots and then they compare, d) little uptake of vaccination so far, e) just starting a big push to vaccinate the elderly. Plus protests have shown they can have effects. But also the Chinese Security Apparatus has begun a clampdown on people involved in the covid protests. That will have ripple effects too.

There is peril in every item listed, but I am not particularly alarmed overall. But it will be bumpy.

On the other hand ... stabilizing factors include:

* calming inflation, soft landing avoiding rough recession looking more likely.

* gas prices down.

* Democratic Senate, by a hair thin margin. Steady Democratic hands in the White House.

That's all I can think of at the moment.

[Wicked Blue]

1. And Joe Biden is POTUS!

[Bernardo de La Paz]

2. Thank goodness or thank dog. . . . nt