Two wins for Democrats tonight

[Qutzupalotl]

Link to tweet

Two major wins for Democrats tonight.

1. New Hampshire: Dem. Hal Rafter flipped a swing seat in a special election for the state House, in a district that favored Trump in 2020.

2. Democrats have retained control of the Pennsylvania House after winning a special election in Pittsburgh.

Democrats have been doing extremely well in special elections since 2020.

Do you think their success is due to the overturning of Roe? Or is it the effect that Donald Trump, as the likely GOP nominee, is having?

[LakeArenal]

1. Both.

[Shellback Squid]

2. good news but any recent losses?

perspectively asking

[Qutzupalotl]

8. I'm not aware of any big losses,

but that's not saying much. Probably we've lost somewhere, but we seem to be either running the table or greatly exceeding expectations. I'll take it!

[W_HAMILTON]

11. ...

An article from just last month:

...

An analysis from FiveThirtyEight found that in 38 special elections held so far this year, Democrats have outperformed the partisan lean -- or the relative liberal or conservative history -- of the areas where the races were held by an average of 10%, both romping in parts of the country that typically support the party while cutting down on GOP margins in red cities and counties, too.

Taken from: https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/democrats-overperforming-2023-special-elections-clue-biden-trump/story?id=101850305

[Demsrule86]

14. NO

[2naSalit]

3. Probably both.

[Cha]

5. What I just said..

[Cha]

4. WOW DEMS Kept PA House.. HUGE!

And, NH is Great News, too! Congrats to Dem Hal Rafter in District that the Traitor won in 2020!!

How about Both? TY!

[Deminpenn]

12. This PA state house seat is in a heavily Dem area

Dems were expected to keep the seat. Inammorato won in 2022 with 63% of the vote.

[Cha]

16. Well Good.. I didn't know what was

going on before.. just that it was an election to determine who gets the State House.

TY

[Demovictory9]

6. Excellent..

[Recycle_Guru]

7. KICK

[onecaliberal]

9. They're over performing bigly as well. I'm seeing a pattern.

[Beartracks]

10. I like to think it's the effect that cocky religious zealots are having...

... all over the country. Cocky, religious, arrogant, and ignorant zealots.

==============

[Deminpenn]

13. The win in PA was expected

nt

[Demsrule86]

15. It was hoped for, but not expected. Why so negative?

We dodged not one but two bullets.

[Deminpenn]

17. HD-21 is a Dem district

Sara Innamorato got 63% of the vote in 2022.

[Demsrule86]

18. Well, I looked at the figures and we won by a bigger margin this time. IE overperforming which is what Hayes

show as about. It is on Youtube I believe. But still, I am optimistic and think we will win...maybe more than what we think now.

[Deminpenn]

20. Yeah, that was interesting

Dems seem motivated to vote maybe flipping the conventional wisdom that Rs always show up to vote in low turnout type elections upside down.

[Demsrule86]

19. Well, I looked at the figures and we won by a bigger margin this time. IE overperforming which is what Hayes

show as about. It is on Youtube I believe. But still, I am optimistic and think we will win...maybe more than what we think now.