DFT won with 70% in IA, his base used to be 35%

[RainCaster]

Has the GOP shrunk by half? Or has the party truly embraced Vladimir Putin and his lackey? Or did all the moderates stay home with the bad weather? What were the total numbers like today compared to last time?

[LiberalFighter]

1. Not all the results are in.

[2naSalit]

2. Percentage-wise...

He doubled his net value.

But I want to ask, how many actual votes does that amount to? How many eligible voters are there in the state and how many now claim the party compared to 2020 or even 2016? Just how many members have they shed since the escalator to hell descended upon us?

I suspect that the actual head count of actual registered Rs has declined significantly and so when I see only % thrown about, makes me wonder what n actually is.

[RainCaster]

11. Yes!

This is exactly what I'm talking about. I truly want to know how many former Republicans DFT has made. I guess I'll have to wait until the election.

[2naSalit]

12. Interestingly...

I looked at the state's population is a little over 3 million; the anticipated total vote count - as seen on Kornacki's "board"- 119,000. From what I could guestimate there were considerably fewer like possibly right around only 100,000 total votes in for the night statewide. Some of the precinct counts were less than 50.

So of roughly 100,000 people voting tonight, a little over half were magats. That's maybe 55,000 voters, to be generous.

Makes you wonder how many stayed home due to weather or because they didn't want to deal with magats.

The general election will be interesting.

[RainCaster]

13. Somebody posted the numbers

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100218600807
187,000 in 2020
110,000 in 2024
Let that soak in.

[2naSalit]

18. Shows a decline in Rs...

I would guess.

[DemocraticPatriot]

15. The 2024 GQP caucus vote was about 40 to 50 thousand less votes, than 2016...

Don't know about 2020, and uncontested seriously, it is not relevant...

[Bettie]

19. People who caucus tend to be the

most engaged, so they are more likely to be Trump voters in this case because they are fanatical in their support of the orange golem they worship.

Last I saw he was at 51 percent.

[dflprincess]

3. Caucuses bring out the true believers

I notice that there are no "uncommitted" votes being tallied. When Minnesota did caucuses for presidential race (we've gone to a primary now) attendees did have an option to caucus "uncommitted" if they hadn't made up their minds or just didn't like any of the candidates.

If Iowa doesn't permit that, there really is no reason for sane or nearly sane Republicans (assuming there are some left) in Iowa to show up tonight.

[Bettie]

20. People can do it

I've seen it, but then, by the end of it, they usually make a decision.

[ProfessorGAC]

4. His Base Was 35%?

You sure about that?
Maybe 35% nationwide, but 35% of republicans in Iowa seems way too low.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

5. Not sure where you are getting 70%, 35%

Please expound on that.

Yes, people DO NOT care that he's a criminal. That has been 100% solidified tonight. in R-Land, that is

[TwilightZone]

6. This is the Republican caucus.

His base may be 35% nationally among all voters, but his base has never been 35% of the GOP.

[TSExile]

7. All hope and faith I ever had in humanity...

...is all but sunk. Shame on every single one who would support that monster after all this time. Shame, shame, shame.

[OAITW r.2.0]

8. That's the important takeaway as far as I am concerned.

If it grows to 100% Republican Iowan voters are Trumplicans. how does that relate to total number of voters identifying as Republicans? Say 2016/2020/2024?

[Silent Type]

9. He's at 53% right now with roughly 1/3 reporting.

[captain queeg]

10. It's like a pro wrestling even. The dyed in the wool crazies come out in force.

Unlike WWE, where most of the fans will admit it all staged, the trumpers have turned off any critical thinking brain power, if they had any to begin with.

[DemocraticPatriot]

14. Trump barely got 50% in Iowa, when all the votes were counted---

you are reacting to the initial results, with a tiny vote count of far less than one percent, here....


49 percent of Iowa Republicans voted for someone else....


I presume you went to bed early.... That's ok, it is healthy....

[ForgedCrank]

16. I can

tell you what I hear locally, I live in a hopelessly lost MAGA state and my county is among the worst. Most people around here are republicans or conservative. Even people who don't even really like him are in backlash mode right now. There is a lot of anger about all the legal action and everything, and insist it is all political weaponry. The latest ballot stuff in CO has really set them off to boot.
I was worried about this all along. I hope it wears off before the election comes around.

[captain queeg]

17. It's like a pro wrestling even. The dyed in the wool crazies come out in force.

Unlike WWE, where most of the fans will admit it all staged, the trumpers have turned off any critical thinking brain power, if they had any to begin with.

[Chakaconcarne]

21. Heard this am on CBS, only 15% of IA GOP voted yesterday

[spanone]

22. 70% of 14%