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Mr.WeRP

(1,098 posts)
Tue Oct 22, 2024, 05:07 PM Oct 2024

I think I figured out Trump's strategy for after he loses. You may want to take a seat.

Take a look at this election map for this year:


Consider these states:
AZ, GA, NC and NV

Recently, I've posted about how Trump has been paying millions for swing state polls. The main vendor is Fabrizio. If you look at the states where there are more Fabrizio polls than other swing states, it is NV, AZ, GA and NC to the tune of 1 and sometimes 2 or 3 per week (under different collabs with other pollsters). Even now, in places like PA, MI, MN, WI, Fabrizio has slowed down and many of the polls are 1-2 weeks old in these states.

Now, if you correlate that with the Early Voting data, three of the states where Democrats are NOT outpacing Republicans are:
AZ, NC, and NV. Note: GA doesn't release party affiliation with early voting data.

These are the only swing states with Rs leading Ds (or close) in early voting where party affiliation is tracked. I believe Trump has gotten the word out to his voters in these states to commit to early voting and to get the turnout he needs to win them. If he does this, then he is just one electoral vote flip away from contesting the election. Maybe Younkin in VA or he has a henchman issue threats in urban areas of PA to dissuade enough voters to flip PA or similar state or convinces the NE legislature to flip the one blue elector in that state. Roger Stone is saying they will have armed guards patrolling polling locations FFS. I put nothing past him in this regard. If this happens, it will end up in the hands of SCOTUS and unless we substantially win one or more of these four states, I fear another Gore v. Bush.

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marble falls

(71,725 posts)
1. And down the rabbit hole we go. Sometimes this sort of thing seems intent on suppressing turnout ...
Tue Oct 22, 2024, 05:29 PM
Oct 2024

... it makes it seem like a game, that elections are in the control of invisible hands.

lees1975

(7,009 posts)
2. Early voting in Arizona has always been pretty even.
Tue Oct 22, 2024, 05:30 PM
Oct 2024

Voting early doesn't mean that Republicans are going to win. It just means there will be fewer votes on election day.

 

brush

(61,033 posts)
3. Fuck Roger Stone and trump. That orange fucking criminal is goona get his ass kicked.
Tue Oct 22, 2024, 07:50 PM
Oct 2024

He'll be lucky to get out of the country an defect to Pootie Poot's Russia and become roommates with Comrade Snowden, cause Melania ain't going with him as she doesn't allow him to touch her.

The Princess and her husband sure ain't going. The two older sons, I don't know. Everything they have has come from being trump's sons so we'll see.

Tiffany the unwanted child, no. trump won't even ask her.

FakeNoose

(41,295 posts)
4. None of the polls are taking into account all the Repukes who won't vote for Chump
Tue Oct 22, 2024, 07:57 PM
Oct 2024

Chump figures all the R's are "his" people ... but they aren't. Many, MANY of them don't want him back in the White House, and they aren't going to vote for him. Chump is in for a big surprise on November 6th (or 7th).

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