More Americans now affiliate themselves with the Democratic Party than the Republican Party

[SunSeeker]

More Americans now affiliate themselves with the Democratic Party than the Republican Party, marking the first time this has happened since January 2024, according to a Gallup poll released Thursday. 

Gallup finds that in the second quarter of 2025, an average of 46% of Americans say they identified as a Democrat or a Democratic-leaning independent, compared with the 43% who say they are a Republican or Republican-leaning independent.

That's a change from the first quarter of the year, when an equal 45% of Americans identified with either party. And it's an even bigger shift from the fourth quarter of 2024—when last year’s presidential election took place—when 47% identified as Republicans.

"Shifts in party affiliation away from the ruling party have occurred in the first year of most recent presidential administrations. The current movement in party preferences is primarily driven by a greater share of political independents saying they lean toward the Democratic Party," Gallup said.

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2025/7/31/2336081/-Americans-move-away-from-the-Republican-Party?pm_campaign=front_page&pm_source=top_news_slot_9&pm_medium=web

[Meadowoak]

1. As far as I know, there's always been more democrats than Republicans, getting them out to vote is another story

While Republicans will crawl through broken glass to get to the polls if they have to, and they vote every damn time.

[SunSeeker]

2. That was not always the case. It wasn't the case in November 2024.

[JT45242]

3. Of the people who responded to the poll...

That caveat is more important than ever.

[SunSeeker]

4. Doesn't that "caveat" apply to every poll? What's your point?

[cadoman]

6. pretty much a split down the middle tbh

It's nice that it's the right direction but if you zoom out a bit this is pretty much a flatline statistic.

[SunSeeker]

7. Huh? I see sharp swings. Sadly, Nov 2024 was a sharp swing to the Rs. nt

[cadoman]

8. I see the numbers consistently within two digits of 45%, and the margin of error is 2%

So I dunno, it is about as close to a flatline as it can possibly get and still be worth polling.

What are you seeing that I'm not?

[SunSeeker]

10. It's not consistly within 2%. And if you want to play with margin of error, then no graph makes sense.

It certainly is not a flat line. Even a swing of 2% is a sharp swing since it swings an election.

I really don't understand why you are denying this reality.

[cadoman]

14. thank you for correcting my thinking

This swing is incredible and a sign of great progress!

[oasis]

9. Yup, the vengeful "sit out".

[sakabatou]

11. But will they actually vote?

[SunSeeker]

12. No. We should all just take this good news as bad news and give up.

[orleans]

13. lol

[herding cats]

27. Damn...

You nailed that reply and made me laugh!

[JI7]

15. There is about 5 percent of low info types that easily go back and forth

They don't have strong views and don't read much and vote based on how they feel at the moment.

If you discuss politics with them they just repeat talking points they heard.

[maxsolomon]

20. Flibberdigibbets

The fate of the nation hinges on the dumbest among us.

[Oopsie Daisy]

16. That's a good start, but until we address gerrymandering and the Electoral College *

* having a mere majority of voters who self-identify as Democrats is no guarantee to future success.

[patphil]

17. The Democrats have had the advantage in membership 16 of the past 20 years.

And the 4 years they didn't, it was even.
And we've had 8 years of Bush, 8 years of Obama, 4 years of Trump, 4 years of Biden, and are into the 2nd 4 year term for Trump.
Pretty even. It wouldn't make that much difference if both parties supported the Constitution and the rule of law, but Republicans no longer do so.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/15370/party-affiliation.aspx

The question now is if the American voters can step up to defend our country quickly enough to prevent it's demise.
It really depends on 3 things:
1) Can the Democrats get unified enough to take their numbers to the voting booth?
2) Who are the Independents going to vote for?
3) Are enough Republicans going to be sufficiently dissatisfied with their leadership to change their vote?

Of course there is one more question: How effective will the Republicans be in gerrymandering and voter suppression?

[IbogaProject]

18. The true split is 50/50

As we have seen with close elections. The GOP rely on low information voters and the uneven representation the Senate and the Electoral College give them.

[wolfie001]

19. It should be 90-10 but sadly......

....the average American is pathetic and stupid. Mix in some religious superstition and racism while you're at it.

[UTUSN]

21. knr

[Cha]

22. I really Hope This Helps Make

This Nightmare Go Away Forever!

Mahalo, SunSeeker.

[Demovictory9]

23. Good.there is hope

[mdbl]

24. So 43% are still sick in the head.

[cstanleytech]

25. Problem though is many of those are in the inner cities and the Republican gerrymandering makes it difficult to traction

Not impossible to overcome of course but it's going to probably take at least 20 to 30 years to undo at a minimum.

[Katinfl]

26. Good news, but it doesn't mean a thing if they don't show up to vote.

Maybe, just maybe, people will realize elections have consequences and they need to show up. The only way to stop this madness is at the polls.