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Dems currently have a 9 point lead in the latest generic ballot poll
Analyses I have read suggest that, in order to overcome gerrymandering, Dems would need at least a 3-4 point lead to retake the house.
They have 9, and imagine how that lead will grow in a year from now, when the economy is in recession, with double digit inflation and increasing unemployment, and, if the Dems don’t cave to a cynical republican “deal”, millions with doubled or tripled healthcare premiums.
MTG understands the risks.