What will be Cat 4 Melissa will devastate this island as it cuts right across on Tuesday

[malaise]

Holy effin shit
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT13/refresh/AL132025_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/242044_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

[Champp]

1. .

[applegrove]

2. Vibes to you and all Jamaicans. ((HUGS))

[Qutzupalotl]

3. Stay safe.

Store food and water if you can.

[h2ebits]

4. My thoughts are with you. . . .

[snowybirdie]

5. Hunker down

And stay safe

[PJMcK]

6. I hope you're safe, dear malaise

Aren’t you in the mountains? I’m holding you in my thoughts.

[Deuxcents]

7. We're watching it from south Florida and kept hoping it would turn east and then out to the Atlantic

[malaise]

8. This is our Texas 2017 Harvey

Damn

[Deuxcents]

13. Honestly, it doesn't look good but these storms are unpredictable so hoping for a change in direction

Is about all we can do now..running out of time and distance..I know this isn’t your first rodeo, as they say, but do be safe

[malaise]

17. I'm in as safe a spot as possible and this property

had barely a scratch from Gilbert in 1988 to now.
It is our poor, urban folks and hillside dwellers and our infrastructure who/that will take a beating.

[Deuxcents]

26. At 2 mph and that much wind n rain, I expect a long n difficult recovery. Get thru this safely 🌺

[peggysue2]

48. Hunker down as tight as possible, Malaise

You, your family, friends and neighbors. These hurricanes are do damn unpredictable.

Stay safe.

[TBF]

121. I've been watching the reports from Houston

meteorologists - they are worried about this one. Pls. stay safe!! (we rode out Harvey in our new - to us- house). Had another big October storm crash through last night. Lost power for 4 hours, which I would have missed except the dog woke me up w/his barking! It's that time of year - it always seems Aug-Oct is the worst here for storms.

[efhmc]

124. My daughter was there last weekend for a HS reunion. She says that she misses Texas storms but glad she missed this one.

[RoseTrellis]

146. stay safe!

had barely a scratch from Gilbert in 1988 to now

no modern hurricane has hit from the south, all previous ones have been from east to west!
Stay safe!

[SheltieLover]

35. Can you evacuate?

[malaise]

42. I could but I'll be fine

We all have contingency plans😀

[SheltieLover]

44. I hope you will be safe! I've been worried about you.

[Clouds Passing]

46. Oh no! I hope it abates. Be safe to you, your family, friends and islanders

[kerry-is-my-prez]

11. I heard that it may hit Sarasota but it always swerves and hits in a different area.

[kerry-is-my-prez]

9. Being a Floridian, I don't see how long people will be able to continue living on these islands.

And how long we can continue to live in Florida and now North Carolina. The only thing that helps us in Florida is that the flooding in a lot of areas just disappears overnight. We have new lakes form in our development and they are usually gone by the next day or two due to drought conditions and the sun/heat.

[BeneteauBum]

51. Still living in the Keys

Seven years since cat4 Irma devastated us. Lost my retirement dream floating home; fortunate to be able to purchase a second. So many still haven’t completely recovered…..mainly the people who live at near poverty level. Climate change is real no matter what the Washington idiots say.

Good luck Malaise

Peace ☮️

[malaise]

82. You never really get over it completely

Last edited Fri Oct 24, 2025, 10:58 PM - Edit history (1)

We move on

[kerry-is-my-prez]

98. Luckily you were able to buy another home.

I love the Keys - I’m up in Naples. I think I’d be a serious alcoholic if I lived in the Keys.I lived on St Pete Beach and Treasure Island though which is a bit like the Keys. I was always wanting to to get a place on Fort Myers Beach, luckily it didn’t happen - it would have been wiped out.

[BeneteauBum]

102. She's a Beneteau

A lot of rum seems to evaporate from the bottle at times. We’ve only had ten direct strikes in the past fifty years and two were major…….but it can cause a level of anxiety as the storms develop.

Peace ☮️.

[malaise]

55. Good point

This will be a Major triple blow - Haiti, Jamaica Cuba.
They are getting stronger faster.

[JMCKUSICK]

10. Dear God, does that call for an evacuation of the whole island?

I know it's impossible and absurd but wow

[Vinca]

12. That's terrifying, malaise. Hoping the best for you all.

[Sogo]

14. Stay safe, malaise!

Are you/can you evacuate????

[flvegan]

15. Please stay safe, malaise!

[blogslug]

16. Stay safe

Good thoughts. ❤️

[spanone]

18. Hope you can get out!

If not hunker down!!!!!

DAMN

[malaise]

43. Don't want to get out

This too will pass😀

[spanone]

49. 👍🏼

Stay safe

[GoodRaisin]

19. Get prepared now and stay safe.

Hoping the best for you.

[MuseRider]

20. I have been worried about you

since this became an issue hoping it would go around you.

Scared to death for you. I know you are smart, capable and have done this before but still.......you have every good wish and thought I can produce. Hoping all of you will be left intact and safe.

[malaise]

45. The post hurricane issues are usually worse than the storm itself

Hopefully power will return quickly

[dixiegrrrrl]

112. Post storm is what I dread the most.

We usually don't get direct hurricane impacts where we live.But we do get the rain and wind enuff to lose power, the longest was 3 days.
3 days of no moving air in very humid very hot weather is quite difficult for seniors esp.Difficult to sleep, hard to breathe.
It's one of those problems you have to experience to understand.

[malaise]

113. Direct hits are rare here as well

This may be the worst one to hit JA since Gilbert and I think it will be much worse. 23 inches of rain, real slow ,ovement and Cat 4 winds.

[dixiegrrrrl]

145. My fingers are crossed for ya, kiddo.🙁

[bucolic_frolic]

21. Be safe, obviously! Batten down the hatches, full speed ahead!. /nt

[elleng]

22. EVERYONE's been thinking of you, as you can see,

and we'll CONTINUE to do so.

[LoisB]

23. May all the Gods keep malaise and all those in Jamaica safe.

[littlemissmartypants]

29. Amen

[FalloutShelter]

33. And Amen.

[irisblue]

39. May it be so

[slightlv]

135. So mote it be!

And may the post-storm issues be handled quickly and professionally... with dignity and caring for all. we're all pulling for you Malaise... you've heard it enough here, but I'll echo my own with "be safe"... you mean a lot to many, many of us!!!!

[LoisB]

142. I will "amen" that.

[Ellipsis]

24. Accuweather was predicting 18 to 24 inches of rain in Kingston.

[malaise]

57. Can't process that

😀

[Ellipsis]

64. It took me aback. I was just checking our local weather.

They had it as a side story.

Be safe... load up on fresh water and stuff.

Best

[malaise]

72. Stuff is ready and then some

😀

[HipChick]

119. worried about land slides with those numbers

[IrishAfricanAmerican]

25. Stay safe.

[Wounded Bear]

27. Looks absolutely ominous...

Be as safe as you can. I know you'll likely experience some outage over that period.

Best wishes.

[littlemissmartypants]

28. Malaise, I'm so sorry. And so worried about you.

[rzemanfl]

30. The tracks never stay the same.

It has already moved to the east quite a bit. I watch ventusky.com when the storms get close.

The waiting must be godawful, it is just stooging around out there this weekend.

I always used to say NOAA tried to have the track pass over as many Home Depot Stores as possible because it was good for the economy. I will keep my fingers crossed for you and the Toronto Blue Jays.

[malaise]

59. The waiting is the worst part

One of my neighbors and I were laughing and saying seriouly this shit will be here until Tuesday or Wednesday?😀

[SheltieLover]

31. Stay safe, Malaise!

[FalloutShelter]

32. That's a monster.

Malaise, please keep safe.

[HeartsCanHope]

34. Oh, Malaise, please stay safe! Will be thinking of you and all of Jamaica!

[raccoon]

36. Stay safe!

[Mossfern]

37. Stay safe and

please keep us informed about how you're doing as long as you're able to.
We'll be watching the weather, the news and waiting to here from you.

[OLDMDDEM]

38. Be safe.

[Passages]

40. Hoping for better news this forecast changes for the better.

Be safe.

[Greybnk48]

41. Be safe Malaise.

I saw what you wrote about your location being as safe as possible. It's always the poorer people or those down on their luck who get hammered. We will be thinking of you and your family and hope for the best for all Jamaicans.

[Solly Mack]

47. Thinking of everyone and especially you and yours! Take care!

[mentalsolstice]

50. Thinking of you my friend!

I know this isn’t your first rodeo, and you have good sense. And you’re right, it’s the aftermath of these storms that can be more devastating.

Good thoughts to you!

[SSJVegeta]

52. Please be safe.

Sending prayers your way.

[Dave Bowman]

53. Stay safe, malaise.

[denvine]

54. Oh no!

Hoping that you, your family, friends and everyone in Jamaica get through this safely!

[cachukis]

56. You are either going to appreciate the experience

or appreciate the experience.
You are there. Hope it passes soon.

[malaise]

62. Nah

Experienced enough of them

[cachukis]

67. Sleep well. It will be there in the morning.

[malaise]

70. LOL

😀

[yellow dahlia]

58. We hope you don't go without power for long.

We need you here at DU keeping us informed.

[malaise]

63. We were without power for six weeks after Gilbert in 1988

😀

[yellow dahlia]

68. Yikes!

Do many folks have generators on the island?

[malaise]

75. These days yes

Back in 1988 a good friend (actually ran into him and his daughter at a pharmacy today) had a generator and every night he’d bring me two cold Red Stripe and a bottle of cold water😀

[yellow dahlia]

85. Love it.

That's so Jamaica.

I used to be a bartender, so I am familiar w/ Red Stripe.

[malaise]

88. LOL

😀

[Ocelot II]

60. Yikes! Hope you can hunker down and ride it out without much damage!

Hang in there, we'll be thinking of you. Keep us posted if/when you can.

[AllaN01Bear]

61. ""

stay safe all of you, please .

[mountain grammy]

65. Be safe Malaise and keep us posted..

Dear Melissa, please go away,

[malaise]

71. Well only if the internet holds up

😀

[BumRushDaShow]

66. That sharp turn north has been insane

and the system has finally started to intensify. Went from 45 mph to 65 mph with the last update.

[malaise]

73. Yep

Should be Cat 1 overnight

[Alliepoo]

69. Sending every good thought your way, Malaise.

I hope somehow that storm changes direction. Stay safe.

[ultralite001]

74. NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL -- 500 PM EDT Fri Oct 24 2025

Key Messages:

1. Jamaica: Due to Melissa’s slow motion, a prolonged multi-day
period of damaging winds and heavy rainfall resulting in potentially
catastrophic flash flooding and numerous landslides is likely to
begin late Saturday or Sunday. There is an increasing risk of
life-threatening storm surge when the center of Melissa nears
Jamaica early next week. Preparations to protect life and property
should be rushed to completion.

2. Haiti: Heavy rainfall will result in catastrophic flash flooding
and landslides across southwestern Haiti into early next week.
Extensive damage to roads and buildings is expected, potentially
isolating communities for an extended period of time. Immediate
preparations to protect life and property should be taken. Strong
winds could also potentially last for a day or more over the Tiburon
peninsula of Haiti.

3. Dominican Republic: Heavy rainfall could produce potentially
catastrophic flash flooding and numerous landslides in southern
portions of the Dominican Republic.

4. Eastern Cuba and Bahamas: Interests in Cuba and the Bahamas
should monitor the progress of Melissa since there is an increasing
risk of a significant storm storm surge, damaging winds, and heavy
rainfall by the middle of next week. The risk of life-threatening
flash flooding and landslides in eastern Cuba are increasing.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
96HRS 28/1800Z 17.9N 77.4W 120 KT 140 MPH...INLAND IN JAMAICA
120HRS 29/1800Z 21.5N 74.8W 95 KT 110 MPH...OVER WATER

Another Air Force Reserve and a NOAA-P3 reconnaissance mission
will be in the storm tonight to provide more data on Melissa's intensity
and structure.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?atl

[MiHale]

76. Stay safe my friend..

[Diamond_Dog]

77. Praying for your safety, malaise, and all your fellow islanders.

[debm55]

78. Stay safe, malaise.

[orangecrush]

79. Stay safe

And keep us updated when you can.

[KS Toronado]

80. Reading all your replies malaise

sounds like you're well prepared for this storm if it hits you, I'll still say some prayers if
it does hit you. Please stay safe.

[JustABozoOnThisBus]

81. I hope it's not another Gilbert

That was one horrid storm.

[surfered]

83. Harvey went ashore about 7-8 miles north of us.

Our house was relatively unscathed only requiring new shingles on the roof and there was with no serious water penetration. The concrete high-rise condos near us had water penetration thru the roofs.

We could live in our house, but it took two years of repairs before the condo residents could return to their units.

There’s a lot of luck involved in these events and I’m wishing you and your countrymen the best of luck.🙏

[malaise]

91. You know Gilbert was actually exciting

JA hadn’t had an island-wide hurricane in decades. No one needs more than one of those big ones.😀

[democrank]

84. I'm thinking of you, malaise.

Hoping for the best for you, your family and everyone in this storm’s path.

[IcyPeas]

86. Having no electricity is the worst

I dont mean it's the actual worst but.... being out of touch for days is so..... so.... I don't know, but I hate it.

I have flashlights in every room now (since the 1994 Northridge earthquake) I discovered that being in the absolute dark was very scary to me.

Please be safe Malaise. We're all keeping watch and keeping you in our thoughts.

[malaise]

89. I think no water is worse

I was in a patty and pastry shop yesterday and a young medic held the door open for me. The line was long and we started talking. She said the thought of not having internet coverage was frightening her.
Gen X and GenZ cannot contemplate no internet. We cope better in that area.

[a kennedy]

87. 🙏🏻 ♥️ 🙏🏻 ♥️ 🙏🏻 ♥️

[Scrivener7]

90. Yikes. Be safe, malaise.

[CaptainTruth]

92. AAAGGGHHH!!!

I will wish you the best & keep you in my thoughts!

Stay safe!!!

[Liberal In Texas]

93. Sending good vibes for you to ride this out with few problems.

[CaptainTruth]

94. OMG... Cyclocane is predicting a direct hit as a Cat 4.

The predicted path shifted east over the past day, I will hope it continues shifting east away from the island!

[electric_blue68]

95. Safety to you, family, friends, and the least damage to your area, and the island

🤞🤞🤞🤞🤞

[calimary]

96. Stay safe, everybody!

And if it’s possible to keep us posted, please do.

Cuz otherwise, we’re gonna worry.

[FakeNoose]

97. Malaise do you own a boat? Or does anyone you know own one?

This is just really scary news .... Prayers for you and your loved ones.

[BigmanPigman]

99. Are FEMA and the National Meteorologists

fully funded and prepared or has that changed along with everything else tRump-related?

[maveric]

100. Please be safe

[niyad]

101. Holding you and all in harm's way in love and light.

[scipan]

103. Axe in case you need to get to the roof. Bug out bags.

Don't know how high above sea level you are.

You're probably more experienced than I am.

Something that floats.

[canetoad]

104. I know this must be a worry

You are usually so pragmatic about the weather. Keep your head down and I hope you can report back to us soon after it's over.

[malaise]

110. This is the big one

We’re hearing 23 inches of rain plus Cat3/4 winds.
There will be a massive loss of life

[mcar]

105. It's a bad one

Blessings on all Jamaicans.

[malaise]

127. Look at this

37 years

Charlie 1951

Gilbert 1988

Melissa 2025

[mcar]

133. Crazy!

I really hope you.and yours stay safe, malaise.

[denbot]

106. Oh shit. I rode out a hurricane that turned north instead of what we expected south slamming West Indies.

Last edited Sat Oct 25, 2025, 02:49 PM - Edit history (1)

We were on a U.S.Guided Missile Destroyer, and still with our best efforts we exceeded max roll (a possible capsize), This thing is an order of that magnitude greater of a storm. Like everyone one else, I hope you can get on high ground and the best to you, and well everyone. Love to you and yours, DU.

[peacebuzzard]

107. Thinking of u malaise

[malaise]

108. I suspect that Port Royal, Norman Manley Arport and Portmore

will be among the worst hit.
Kingston can’t handle this.
By the way Guantanamo Bay will face the same damage.

[marmar]

125. Yeah, I was watching the Weather Channel this morning and it seems like it will be worst on the east side of the island.

Take care.

[malaise]

129. Thanks - our local officials just said

Well pretty much be without communications from tomorrow or Monday until at least Friday.

[peacebuzzard]

130. please keep a way to stay tuned in to all the advisories and hunker down

in a safe as possible place. With provisions, water, blankets, backup battery power for several days, radio with auxiliary power, a power backup for cell phone.
I am praying for the downgrade and disintegration of this storm prior to landfall.

[Jeanette in FL]

111. Been thinking about you, Malaise

I am glad that you have your preparations in place. Stay safe and know that you, your family and Jamaica will be in our prayers. I know that you will let us know when you can. Lots of Love.

[ReRe]

114. Awwwww, fudge

I have a thousand questions, but I'll ask only one. Will you be with others on Tuesday? Love you, my DU friend.

[malaise]

116. Yep

Thanks.

[allegorical oracle]

115. FWIW, National Weather Service this a.m. predicts "no cyclone formation for seven

days". Please stay safe.

[malaise]

117. for the US! LOL

😀

[HipChick]

118. Was thinking about you..Stay safe

I've already have about 5 days of rain from the outskirts of it..Looks like they are calling for a Cat 5

[malaise]

120. Long time no see Sis

[Roy Rolling]

122. Hoping it stalls

Slow down

[malaise]

123. That is the problem - it has stalled

And is currently moving at 1mph while strengthening - a real worst case scenario of rain, wind and slow movement.

[Pacifist Patriot]

128. Thinking of you!!!

[barbtries]

131. shit.

Stay safe Malaise!!

[Blue Owl]

132. Do keep us posted Malaise and hold steady

[bluestarone]

134. Wishing you the bestb of luck. One thing, (I'm sure you know this) is

Keep all eyes on any trees and wind directions!! Be safe!!

[crickets]

136. malaise, I thought of you first thing today

while watching the Ryan Hall Y'all forecast on YT. Please stay safe!

[Duncanpup]

137. Good luck friend

[multigraincracker]

138. Keep notes and take lots of photos.

I’ll buy the book and go see the movie.
Trying hard to picture the silver lining.
Got to be tens of thousands of us here that will take you in if you get out. I know I would.

[malaise]

140. LOL

I’ll be fine. Sibling, nieces, nephews and cousins shared the same kind thoughts.
The warnings on TV are almost comical.

[malaise]

139. Well Lookie lookie - Naval Station Guantanamo Bay non-essential evacuations

https://www.facebook.com/NSGuantanamoBay/posts/non-mission-essential-us-citizens-will-be-moving-off-the-island-as-early-as-satu/1256241379877164/

Non-mission-essential U.S. citizens will be moving off the island as early as Saturday afternoon and no later than Sunday morning.
Please prepare your belongings. Ensure you have two weeks' worth of clothing and medication (as required). Personnel will be notified.
Each individual will be allowed one 40-pound bag and a carry-on item. Stand by for more directions on when your zone will be called to the Windjammer to get orders.
If you are traveling with a pet, please have your orders in hand prior to visiting the Veterinary Clinic. Stay connected to social media for more information, listen to the giant voice, and stay safe.

[spanone]

141. K&R

[malaise]

143. Cat 4 now. 140mph

and getting stronger still moving West at 5 mph.
Just light rain here overnight.

Look at that eye.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/252101.shtml?cone#contents

[helpisontheway]

144. Perfectly formed eye.. :( Praying for everyone in Jamaica!!nt

[malaise]

147. Wind picking up now in St Andrew

Not much rain here yet - that will change