I think the Democrats can pick up 4 Senate seats in 2026; maybe more.

[Chasstev365]

ME = Mills
NC = Cooper
OH = Brown
IA = Hinson

Any of chances of defeating other Republican candidates?

[TheFarseer]

1. I wouldn't count out Dan Osborn in Nebraska

He only lost to Deb Fisher by 7% last year and in a blue wave year it’s very possible he could take down silver spoon billionaire Pete Ricketts.

[Demsrule86]

2. We will win five from m California

[EdmondDantes_]

3. Those are House seats

[yellowcanine]

4. Texas may be an opportunity with Republicans divided.

[SSJVegeta]

5. I think those are the minimum they need. If it is a very good year they can pick up 60

If it is a once in 100 years situation they can pick up almost all of the senate seats up for election.

[Johnny2X2X]

6. Dems are defending 13, Republicans 20

Dems will defend all 13 with ease. Dems will flip 5 or 6 with ease and there will be a few more surprises. 2026 is going to be a blood bath for Republicans, they're going to lose seats they thought were 100% safe all across the country.

Virginia AG is a telling data point. An incumbent MAGA lost to a flawed Dem who many on both sides were calling to drop out of the race. Polls were within the margin of error and Jones ended up winning by 6 points.

[jojog]

7. Amy McGrath

Running in Kentucky for Mitch McConnell seat. They have proven Dem can win statewide.

[SocialDemocrat61]

8. Any data to support or

just a hunch?

[Chasstev365]

9. Just a gut feeling based on Tuesday night's results

I think these 4 are the most likely to flip to the Dems. A lot can happen in a year, but there is a blue wave forming.

I am doubtful TX, NE, or SC will flip.

Personally, I'd love see Lindsey Graham and Susan Collins voted out more then almost all others.

[SocialDemocrat61]

15. I hope your gut is correct

[Quiet Em]

10. I would feel more confident about Maine if there wasn't that small group of people pushing

that inexperienced, divisive guy with the horrible baggage. They seem to be hellbent on attempting to make that primary ugly.

[Chasstev365]

11. I don't think he will win the primary over Janet Mills

[Quiet Em]

12. I don't either.

But I'm not looking forward to the divisiveness he clearly wants to bring.

[Wiz Imp]

13. This site does a more thorough analysis than most

https://www.racetothewh.com/senate/26#google_vignette

They still show Democrats with just a 34.4% chance of taking the Senate, but it is trending in the right direction.

https://www.racetothewh.com/senate/26#google_vignette

There are 22 Republican seats up for election. There are currently 9 where Democrats chances are 10% or higher

North Carolina 74.5%
Maine 63.1%
Ohio 40.4%
Alaska 27%
Texas 25.7%
Iowa 23.3%
Florida 18.2%
Kansas 14.1%
Nebraska 12.5%

[dwayneb]

14. This is the reality

Our system of government is design to gift the minority with tyrannical rule. 2 per state Senate and gerrymandering guarantee it. The freedom loving majority will have to be very determined or very lucky in order to get around these fundamental problems of our "representative" democracy.