Medicare costs "game-changer"
http://www.businessinsider.com/peter-orszag-chart-shows-medicare-costs-slowing-2012-12#ixzz2GS8JO6HY
Peter Orszag's Chart Of The Year Could Change Everything You Think About Healthcare And The Federal Budget
The conventional wisdom on the deficit is: Right now the deficit doesn't pose a problem, but thanks to the gigantic growth in healthcare costs, it's inevitable that the government will get swamped by Medicare spending, ergo we need to tweak the system.
Peter Orszag, who was the head of the Office of Management and Budget under Obama, and who is now at Citi, offers up a chart that could be a Medicare costs game-changer.
Says Orszag:
This graph from S&P illustrates two key facts: health-care costs have decelerated over the past few years, and Medicare costs have decelerated more than other health costs. That pattern suggests at least part of the slowdown is structural (since if it were all just a reflection of economic weakness, we wouldnt expect Medicare to slow down more than other health costs, but if it were partly structural, thats exactly what we would expect).
If this slower growth continues, the impact on our long-term fiscal gap will be much more meaningful than any plausible outcome of the fiscal cliff negotiations.