Gulf of Mexico and Florida DUers - looks like a

[malaise]

Serious rain system


AccuWeather forecasters said they are keeping an eye on several areas, especially near the north-central Gulf Coast, where an area of low pressure could bring heavy downpours from southeastern Louisiana to the western Florida Panhandle.

https://www.naplesnews.com/story/weather/hurricanes/2026/06/04/tropical-storm-amanda-spaghetti-models-tropics-update-florida-conditions-national-hurricane-center/90353580007/

[Cheezoholic]

1. While a strong El Nino's may inhibit Atlantic Hurricane development, it also can dump tons of rain in the southern US

Strong El Nino's have contributed to tragic massive flooding in the southern US in the past. Also long trackers across the Atlantic may have a hard time but the home grown GOM/W Caribbean/SW Atlantic (Bahamas) storm generating threat is still there. Even with a strong El Nino (which may wane some late fall), we still have anomalously high ocean temps ( and deep) in these areas so people shouldn't let their guard down thinking this El Nino is gonna save them. The water's so hot, especially in the GOM and W Caribbean already, if something develops its gonna have jet fuel to spin up fast in the right conditions. Mid summer through Sept may be slow but the early and late seasons are still primed. As I always emphasize, it only takes one. Andrew was during a strong El Nino. Take care down there!!

[malaise]

2. That massive flooding event that was TS Agnes/Hurricane Agnes

took place in an El Niño Year1972/73. - June.
It was the worst disaster up to that time.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Agnes

[cachukis]

3. Thanks. Good eye.