Geez these pugs are volatile!
Late Novemeber Gingrich catches a national wave. Newt leads Romney by roughly 24 points in Florida. Confirmed by several polls.
After December and before South Carolina Romney zoomed back up to roughly +24 points in Florida polling. Confirmed by several polls.
Pre SC Newtmentum becomes a news story. Newt and Romney roughly tied in Florida. Confirmed by several polls.
Newt wins South Carolina. Newt leads Romney by 8 points if Florida. Confirmed by several polls.
Romeny starts running ads heavily in Florida. Romney takes a lead of roughly 8 points. Confirmed by several polls.
The polls are measuring (with amazing consistancy between themselves) the behavior of a quarter of the Republican electorate who has, for months, moved seemingly in sync stating a preference for the last guy they say on TV, or heard something good about on TV.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/fl/florida_republican_presidential_primary-1597.html
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