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demtenjeep

(31,997 posts)
Sun Jan 29, 2012, 08:24 PM Jan 2012

Santorum again called Global Warming a Hoax, but it is almost Feb and Kansas has been really warm

most of our Jan days were 45-60 degree range

Very unusual for Kansas


NOT that I am complaining, I hate snow and cold, but really it has been unusually warm.

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Santorum again called Global Warming a Hoax, but it is almost Feb and Kansas has been really warm (Original Post) demtenjeep Jan 2012 OP
He should visit the Lake Michigan lakeshore in Wisconsin. Virtually no snow to speak of. shraby Jan 2012 #1
You may not be complaining now, MadHound Jan 2012 #2
This is the warmest KS winter I've ever witnessed. tridim Jan 2012 #3
I know it is bad for farming demtenjeep Jan 2012 #5
southern california also JI7 Jan 2012 #4
Same here in s. central PA. We've had one 3" snowfall and hardly any for five years. HopeHoops Jan 2012 #6
This message was self-deleted by its author Tesha Jan 2012 #7
How were the last 2 winters there? pintobean Jan 2012 #10
last year we had 13 inches of snow by this time demtenjeep Jan 2012 #13
This message was self-deleted by its author Tesha Jan 2012 #19
Green shoots are coming up on teh west side of my office building. Chipper Chat Jan 2012 #8
Time will show who is promoting a "hoax" Raine Jan 2012 #9
Time that we hope we have cbrer Jan 2012 #11
Really? Saving Hawaii Jan 2012 #12
The evidence about the connection between smoking and certain JDPriestly Jan 2012 #17
It's going to be 72 here on Thursday XemaSab Jan 2012 #14
We've had one snow this winter customerserviceguy Jan 2012 #15
We have yet to see a snow storm in Burlington Vermont that dropped more than an inch at any given NotThisTime Jan 2012 #16
In Southern California, we always have a few days, maybe even a couple JDPriestly Jan 2012 #18
Global Climate Change Patrick_Bateman Jan 2012 #20

shraby

(21,946 posts)
1. He should visit the Lake Michigan lakeshore in Wisconsin. Virtually no snow to speak of.
Sun Jan 29, 2012, 08:31 PM
Jan 2012

Maybe 2 inches on the ground here, and the temps around 35.

 

MadHound

(34,179 posts)
2. You may not be complaining now,
Sun Jan 29, 2012, 08:34 PM
Jan 2012

But wait until the winter wheat crop drops through the floor, and apple, pear and other fruit trees fail to produce this year.

Despite our aversion to snow and cold, it play a huge role in agriculture, and plant growth in general. Not to mention that a warm winter will cost a lot of farmers a lot of money.

tridim

(45,358 posts)
3. This is the warmest KS winter I've ever witnessed.
Sun Jan 29, 2012, 08:41 PM
Jan 2012

It has felt like fall all winter. I can tell the wildlife is kind of freaked out.

It's going to be in the upper 60's tomorrow.

 

HopeHoops

(47,675 posts)
6. Same here in s. central PA. We've had one 3" snowfall and hardly any for five years.
Sun Jan 29, 2012, 09:41 PM
Jan 2012

If it is cold, we get freezing rain, but not snow. There's hardly been any frost on the cars!!! That's convenient, but not typical.

Response to demtenjeep (Original post)

 

demtenjeep

(31,997 posts)
13. last year we had 13 inches of snow by this time
Mon Jan 30, 2012, 12:06 AM
Jan 2012

I have heard we may have 3 inches so far before Christmas.

Response to pintobean (Reply #10)

Chipper Chat

(9,678 posts)
8. Green shoots are coming up on teh west side of my office building.
Sun Jan 29, 2012, 10:15 PM
Jan 2012

They may be lillies or hostas - they are 3" tall. Never saw that before in January (northern Indiana)

Raine

(30,540 posts)
9. Time will show who is promoting a "hoax"
Sun Jan 29, 2012, 10:17 PM
Jan 2012

I would be thrilled if he was right but how anyone feels or what they believe is irrelevant. What ever happens, happens. The deniers damn well better pray they're the ones who are right.

 

cbrer

(1,831 posts)
11. Time that we hope we have
Sun Jan 29, 2012, 10:53 PM
Jan 2012

Most scientists are in agreement that global climate change is occuring. They don't have conclusive evidence that human activity is the cause. But industrial contamination is rising on an exponential curve that hasn't occured in history, as far as they're able to determine. We don't know what the long term effects will be. Most likely that some locations will benefit, others will suffer. Whether that means that evaporation will accelerate, and more clouds will shroud the surface, or that surplus heat will mean more desert area created, we don't know. We don't know what the effects will be. We don't have a timetable. We can't pinpoint a cause.

Not that this means that it's not a good idea to clean up our environment, and develop/implement better, more sustainable lifestyles.

But to not do so as an economic decision, and consequences be damned, is the typical short sighted, profit driven policy we've had from DC up to this point.

Saving Hawaii

(441 posts)
12. Really?
Sun Jan 29, 2012, 11:02 PM
Jan 2012

They don't have conclusive evidence but it's not exactly difficult to make the case that human activity definitely is the cause. Like most highly complex systems, it's not particularly easy to isolate cause and effect. That doesn't mean it isn't there. There's still a tedious link between cigarette smoking and cancer that can't be called conclusive but I think most of us are right enough in the head to recognize that smoking cigarettes is pretty terrible for your health. Oddly enough, some of the most prominent climate septics were also deeply involved in the 'smoking doesn't cause cancer' campaign pushed by the tobacco companies a couple decades ago.

"We don't know what the long term effects will be". We don't conclusively know, you're right. But we've got a pretty good idea of what happens with warmer oceanic temperatures and what else. We get regular opportunities to observe the results of those conditions today and we get a lot of information to speculate with. Some regions will probably turn to desert. Others may actually get more rainfall than they currently do, but in many cases it will come in downpours rather than trickles and cause flooding and lacking water supplies during the dry months. That's not really disputed. Furthermore, it's not really the type of change that matters in a lot of cases; it's the rate. Our infrastructure (physical and human) is designed for conditions at present. If the climate changes gradually it's not a terribly huge issue to adjust, but if we get rapid changes we're going to be hard pressed to address them. Doesn't matter the direction. Rapid changes = bad news.

"We can't pinpoint a cause." We can't pinpoint a cause for a lot of things. We don't know why lithium is so effective in treating bipolar disorder. We don't know if lidocaine is at all effective in treating cardiac arrest. We don't know a lot of things. But that doesn't mean we don't have a good idea.

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
17. The evidence about the connection between smoking and certain
Mon Jan 30, 2012, 03:18 AM
Jan 2012

diseases is pretty conclusive.

Correlation does not always mean causation. But when the correlation is very high and the effect cannot be explained by any other cause, then that the correlation does reflect causation can be reasonably assumed. This is especially true when other potential causes are absent.

Scientists have eliminated causes for our current warming other than humans and fossil fuels.

History will condemn those who refuse to acknowledge that humans' use of fossil fuels is to be blamed for climate change.

Even if it cannot be proved that fossil fuels cause climate change, why risk the disaster that will happen if they do?

Those who advocate continuing the status quo with regard to fossil fuels are like those who drive on mountain roads at night with their headlights off. There is a very high chance that they will miss an important curve, but of course it is not certain. So why not do it? After all, there can be other causes for accidents on mountain roads at night.

Most sensible people however, would prefer having their headlights on when driving on mountain roads after dark. Most of us prefer driving with at least one hand on the steering wheel most of the time. But, driving with only one hand may or may not be the cause of an accident. Who knows?

And so it is with climate change and fossil fuels.

XemaSab

(60,212 posts)
14. It's going to be 72 here on Thursday
Mon Jan 30, 2012, 12:20 AM
Jan 2012

The average max is 58, and the record is 74. We're still getting cool temperatures at night, in part because there's no moisture to hold it in.

It was really nice out today. I've been getting a lot of yard work done this winter. Usually it's a disaster area by this time because it's so rainy. We're at half of the expected rainfall.

Local weather is almost meaningless, though. In the E/E forum, there's a thread pinned to the top with all kinds of climate data.

Here's my favorite graph:



Note well that the data points are a bit off, so that what looks like 2015 is really 2014, and so forth.

customerserviceguy

(25,183 posts)
15. We've had one snow this winter
Mon Jan 30, 2012, 12:49 AM
Jan 2012

Came on a Saturday, and was pretty much gone (except for where they piled it up) a few days later. Of course, that is not including the Halloween weekend snow, but that was a genuine freak occurance.

NotThisTime

(3,657 posts)
16. We have yet to see a snow storm in Burlington Vermont that dropped more than an inch at any given
Mon Jan 30, 2012, 02:25 AM
Jan 2012

time... warm? yes, we are damn warm...

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
18. In Southern California, we always have a few days, maybe even a couple
Mon Jan 30, 2012, 03:24 AM
Jan 2012

of short-sleeve weeks in January. But this year, all of January was pretty warm.

Highs forecast for the next few days are 69, 68, 74, 80.

 

Patrick_Bateman

(47 posts)
20. Global Climate Change
Mon Jan 30, 2012, 10:17 AM
Jan 2012

is the term that should have been used all along.

Mr. Santorum,

Your Presidential bid is a hoax sir!

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