NEW: Tropical Storm Chantal Remains Threat To Florida

[Purveyor]

By Zac Anderson
Published: Tuesday, July 9, 2013 at 5:35 p.m.

Tropical Storm Chantal remains a threat to Florida but forecasters can't predict with certainty where the storm will go as it moves north out of the Caribbean Sea Wednesday.

Facts
LATEST ON T.S. CHANTAL
Tropical Storm Chantal remained just below hurricane strength Tuesday evening with maximum sustained winds of 65 mph.

The National Hurricane Center's 5 p.m. update predicted the storm would be “near hurricane strength” before passing over Haiti and the Dominican Republican Wednesday. A hurricane watch remained in place for the Dominican Republic.

Sustained winds must reach 74 mph to classify a storm as a Category 1 hurricane.

Chantal is heading northwest at 26 mph. The storm is expected to approach Florida over the weekend.
On Tuesday evening, the National Hurricane Center expected the storm moving parallel to Florida along the east coast.

Computer models indicate the system could turn west toward Florida or another southeastern state over the weekend or early next week, but National Hurricane Center spokesman Dennis Feltgen said it is too early to predict the storm's path that far out.

Most of Florida — including Sarasota and Manatee counties — is in the Hurricane Center's cone of uncertainty, reflecting the widely diverging paths Chantal could take, for Saturday and Sunday.

"It's a good idea to just be paying attention to it over the next couple days," Feltgen said.

MORE...

http://www.heraldtribune.com/article/20130709/ARTICLE/130709642/-1/news?Title=NEW-Tropical-Storm-Chantal-remains-threat-to-Florida

[Little Star]

1. Thanks! I've got a kid who lives in Florida.

[Purveyor]

2. NP. Doesn't sound like too much right now but with the weird shit happening with the weather this

past year, something to at least keep an eye one.

[malaise]

3. Chantal will have to survive Hispaniola first

and I'm not sure that will happen

[HipChick]

8. ..had lots of heavy rain..lost power for a couple of hours

[malaise]

9. I heard some folks in Dominica lost their roofs

Barbados had no problems.
Stay safe - it's just the beginning of the season

[HipChick]

10. It pelted down North tip of St.Lucia

but down South had more damage...could have been worse I guess...until the next one..

[malaise]

13. Lucia and Dominica got the worst of it

Looks like she's weakening this morning.

[HockeyMom]

4. We have have had a lot of rain since May

At least on the Gulf Coast. The lake by my house it up almost 6 feet and to the point of overflowing. Since everything is very saturated already, a lot of rain from just a TS would not be good.

[bike man]

5. Even though it is quite far from the Florida coast, I predict that if it (the center

portion if it remains a TS, or eye if it strengthens) does make landfall along the coast, it will not do so until it passes the Carolinas

[Hugabear]

6. It will be stronger than what they're predicting

My guess is that it will get up to Category 1 or 2 strength. The waters are pretty warm, plenty of fuel for the storm to draw from. We've gotten pretty good at predicting storm tracks, but not so good at predicting strength.

[Purveyor]

7. 14 years of living on the Texas Gulf coast, I've learned to not to take your eye off. Now living in

Michigan, I still watch them...just because.

[malaise]

14. Chantal most likely a Tropical Wave now,,,reconnaissance plane

en route to verify _ NOAA
8:00 AM EDT Wed Jul 10
Location: 16.5°N 70.8°W
Moving: W at 29 mph
Min pressure: 1011 mb
Max sustained: 45 mph
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Weather Underground has her at 45 mph and moving West

[bike man]

11. deleted to make new post

Last edited Wed Jul 10, 2013, 07:47 AM - Edit history (2)

[bike man]

12. Weakening, may be degenerating into a tropical wave

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

see post 5

[Purveyor]

19. Thank you for posting this. I had heard it earlier this morning as was going to update this

thread as soon as I could.

[Baclava]

15. it better take that hard right hand turn like they are predicting

we don't want anything in the GOM

[bike man]

20. More recently the AF Hurricane Hunters are having trouble finding a center. I think

the worry level escalated much too quickly for this rainstorm.

See post 5. Was not worried even then. Did not think it would turn into anything bothersome.

[Baclava]

22. yeah - good news - it's falling apart

might not even make it to N. FL now - not that we need rain - the swamps is full



An Air Force hurricane hunter aircraft criss-crossing Tropical Storm Chantal this morning was barely able to find a closed circulation, and measured top winds of 45 mph at 10:10 am EDT in a region of heavy thunderstorms just south of the Central Dominican Republic coast. High wind shear of 20 - 30 knots, combined with dry air and the storm's exceptionally fast forward movement of 25 - 30 mph have seriously weakened Chantal, even before it has encountered the high mountains of Hispaniola and Cuba

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=2460

[ananda]

16. Looks as though it will be a direct hit..

.. over almost all of Florida.

Good luck Floridians!

[malaise]

17. We're now on Tropical Storm watch in Jamaica

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT03/refresh/AL0313W5_NL+gif/145859W5_NL_sm.gif

[Baclava]

18. stay dry!

she's not very big - it'll be over soon

W at 28mph

[bike man]

21. It is basically just another rainstorm. We have them all the time. As a matter of fact,

it rained here yesterday.

Not every tropical system that appears on the map is worth pulling hair out is despair of potential disaster. This is one of those.

[malaise]

23. Chantal downgraded - all warnings and watches canceled

now a tropical wave with lots of rain

[Baclava]

24. thanks - good work on the deflector shields

we appreciate it




carry on

[malaise]

25. LOL