Yet another poll has Brown leading Warren for MA Senate

[book_worm]

The poll revealed that Brown remains popular in the Bay State, with 49 percent of those surveyed saying they would vote for him if the election was held today. Warren, a consumer advocate and Harvard Law School professor vying for the Democratic nomination to take on Brown in November's general election, pulled 41 percent of the projected vote.

Since a late fall poll conducted by the university, Brown saw his overall support climb two points while Warren's dropped one point.

Warren drew support form 70 percent of Democrats polled as well as 29 percent of Independents and four percent of Republicans.

“Warren needs to shore up her base of support among Democrats and make progress with independent voters if she is to close the gap with Brown,” said Tim Vercellotti, associate professor of political science and director of the Polling Institute at Western New England University. “As it stands now, Brown is in a strong position to win re-election.”

http://www.masslive.com/politics/index.ssf/2012/03/scott_brown_leads_elizabeth_wa.html

[ProSense]

1. I still don't

The poll revealed that Brown remains popular in the Bay State, with 49 percent of those surveyed saying they would vote for him if the election was held today. Warren, a consumer advocate and Harvard Law School professor vying for the Democratic nomination to take on Brown in November's general election, pulled 41 percent of the projected vote.

Since a late fall poll conducted by the university, Brown saw his overall support climb two points while Warren's dropped one point.

When broken down by demographics, the numbers tell an even more intriguing tale.

Brown's support, classified by party identification, shows that while 94 percent of Republicans polled said Brown is the ideal candidate for the job, 22 percent of Democrats and 58 percent of independents also agreed.

Warren drew support form 70 percent of Democrats polled as well as 29 percent of Independents and four percent of Republicans.

...buy that Brown is going to get 22 percent of Democrats and Warren only 70 percent. That's just too odd.

I'd like to see a more comprehensive poll showing why such a large percentage of Democrats are supporting Brown.

[TheWraith]

2. I'd just be guessing...

...but his on-again off-again stance on all things reproductive might be attracting the support of some old-style Catholic Dems. There's also Warren's association with Harvard which leads to popularity problems around Boston.

[ProSense]

3. Could be, but

wouldn't these have been Democrats who supported Kennedy and Kerry?

With a significant majority of Americans supporting the administration rule, I can't see how that would work in Brown's favor in Mass.

Then there is the fact that Mass health care, which has overwhelming support in the state, includes a provision very similar to Obama's.

[CTyankee]

8. It's funny, but it doesn't seem to work that way here in CT. Around New Haven, we have

some hard core haters of Yale but at the end of the day look at our results: we have Dick Blumenthal, a Yalie and a strong progressive, now our U.S. Senator and who has very strong support (of course, he was a great A.G. and helped lots of people in the state over his many years as A.G.). We are a deeply blue state but we have many Catholic Dems as well.

I guess I'm looking at MA thru my CT eyes, thinking that their similarities must produce the same results...I guess we'll see when we have the primary for Dem candidate for Lieberman's Senate seat.

[pipi_k]

5. Just a guess here, but...

I'm thinking that the people in my state are somewhat averse to change, and since Scott Brown doesn't appear to have fucked things up (as many expected him to)...and he's a known entity...people are going to be somewhat supportive.

If Elizabeth Warren hopes to win here, I think she's going to have to promote herself a whole lot more.

Even Mr Pipi, who is a bit more conservative than I am, and had never heard of her before, was impressed with her once he saw one of her ads on TV.

She needs lots more exposure.

[ProSense]

6. You're likely right. n/t

[Honeycombe8]

4. Bummer. But there's time. nt

[B Calm]

7. Bull Shit Poll

[TheWraith]

10. Every other poll says the same thing. nt

[PragmaticLiberal]

9. Honestly, I'm not surprised.

While I agree with Elizabeth in terms of the issues, I've been less than impressed with her "presentation".

[ProSense]

11. There

While I agree with Elizabeth in terms of the issues, I've been less than impressed with her "presentation"

...is nothing wrong with her presentation.

I mean, what exactly is there to be "impressed with" in terms of Scott Brown?

Warren has been climbing in the polls. She has made some very impressive statements that resonate with many people.

She does lag in terms of name recognition, but that's can be addressed.

She is running a great campaign, holding her own in the face of well-funded attacks.

She is not Martha Coakley.

Still, even with the missteps Coakley made, she would have been far better than Scott Brown.

[CTyankee]

15. Why do you say that?

I ask because I find her presentation very refreshing. She's direct, she talks straight and is never condescending. I find her likeable, too...

[graywarrior]

12. It's early

[maximusveritas]

13. This. She is building recognition, but is still behind Brown here

As the poll notes, a third of respondents hadn’t heard of her or did not have an opinion of her. And even those who have heard of her, probably don't know the extent of her accomplishments and knowledge in comparison to Brown.

[graywarrior]

14. She's still collecting signatures as far as I recall