El Nino Weather Seen as 75% Likelihood in 2014, Researchers Say

[Zorro]

There’s a 75 percent chance the El Nino weather pattern will occur in late 2014, according to a report published in the journal PNAS that’s able to look further in the future than earlier models.

Instead of forecasting six months out, researchers used a 12-month model that successfully predicted the absence of El Nino in the past two years.

An El Nino toward the end of this year would increase temperatures in 2015, and having more time to prepare would help farmers and government agencies, said researchers Josef Ludescher and Armin Bunde.

“Farmers might find it worthwhile to invest in drought- or flood-resistant varieties of crops,” Ludescher and Bunde said today in an e-mail. “A strong El Nino event in late 2014 can make 2015 a record year for global temperatures.”

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-02-10/el-nino-weather-seen-as-75-likelihood-in-2014-researchers-say.html

Somewhat welcome news for California, if it pans out.

[hollysmom]

1. the west shold like that

Lets see Drought Fire and finally flood. Sounds about typical except more extreme.
Here is hoping this helps the aquifers.