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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsPoll: Hillary crushes Democratic rivals. Republicans, not so much.
Theres a new poll out Thursday that helps clarify Hillary Rodham Clintons actual standing among 2016 presidential hopefuls.
The NBC/Marist survey covers only two states but those are Iowa and New Hampshire, which set the early tone in races for the White House. What it finds is that Mrs. Clinton may be unbeatable among Democrats if she declares her candidacy.
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That supposed space on her left for a liberal challenger, such as Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts? Its not there in Iowa and New Hampshire. Its not really there in national polls either the RealClearPolitics rolling average of major polls has Clinton as the first choice of 65 percent of Democrats in a multicandidate field. VP Joe Biden gets about 12 percent, and Elizabeth Warren, 7 percent.
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But polling on a general election matchup with individual Republicans reveals a different story.
Shes by no means a juggernaut-in-waiting against the GOP. According to the NBC/Marist survey, shes tied in Iowa with Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, 45 to 45 percent. Shes ahead of New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie by only one point, 44 to 43 percent. (In 2012, President Obama won Iowa by about six percentage points, in case youre interested in the states leaning.)
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http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/DC-Decoder/Decoder-Buzz/2014/0717/Poll-Hillary-crushes-Democratic-rivals.-Republicans-not-so-much
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)BlueStater
(7,596 posts)What a sorry-ass field. Absolutely dreadful.
mylye2222
(2,992 posts)Not only did she wish to be the nominee. ..but the Clinton people are determined to avoid any chances to Dem challengers of winning states during promary season...Is this poll ever a fair one???
yallerdawg
(16,104 posts)wyldwolf
(43,867 posts)Beacool
(30,247 posts)conservaphobe
(1,284 posts)fredamae
(4,458 posts)reflect the majority opinion, by any means.
Remember polls can/are used to manipulate less informed voters..So to say Warren isn't even a blip on the political radar is inaccurate, imo.
Polls are only as reliable as the person who pays for them is honest-commission the poll you want, manipulate choices/wording of questions and selectively poll specific areas and you can get damned near every one of them to reflect the results you want........
Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)The electorate has been closely divided since 2000.
There's no way any candidate could win the general election in a landslide. Of course it's possible to win by healthy electoral vote margin like Obama did, especially when all the swing states break your way. But when it comes to the national popular vote, there will be no blowouts for the foreseeable future.
Stallion
(6,474 posts)those states have voted Democratic in recent Presidential elections. BTW the Christian Science article didn't mention Clinton is pounding other candidates. Here's the breakdown-is that the real breakdown for party identification in those states? For Presidential races?
The NBC/Marist poll of Iowa was conducted July 7-13 of 558 potential Republican caucus-goers (+/- 4.1% margin of error), 538 potential Democratic caucus-goers (+/- 4.2%) and 1,599 potential general-election voters (+/- 2.5%).
The NBC/Marist poll of New Hampshire was conducted July 7-13 of 544 potential GOP primary voters (+/- 4.2%), 479 potential Democratic primary voters (+/- 4.5%) and 1,342 registered voters (+/- 2.7%)
Stallion
(6,474 posts)nm
wyldwolf
(43,867 posts)wyldwolf
(43,867 posts)President Obama and congressional Republicans are unpopular in both and the Senate race is Iowa is deadlocked.
http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/senate-split-why-iowa-competitive-new-hampshire-isnt-n157231
IDemo
(16,926 posts)for what it's worth -
PRINCETON, NJ -- Hillary Clinton is currently the best known and best liked of 16 potential 2016 presidential candidates tested in a July 7-10 Gallup poll, due to her 91% familiarity score and +19 net favorable rating. The net favorable is based on her 55% favorable and 36% unfavorable ratings.
PowerToThePeople
(9,610 posts)other countries start to accept educated US citizens into there countries via political refugee status? It can't be too much longer now.