Strong aftershocks forecasted for the Bay Area over the next week.

[RandySF]

STRONG AFTERSHOCKS (Magnitude 5 and larger) -

At this time (immediately after the mainshock) the probability of a strong and possibly damaging aftershock IN THE NEXT 7 DAYS is approximately 54 PERCENT

EARTHQUAKES LARGER THAN THE MAINSHOCK -

Most likely, the recent mainshock will be the largest in the sequence. However, there is a small chance (APPROXIMATELY 5 TO 10 PERCENT) of an earthquake equal to or larger than this mainshock in the next 7 days.

WEAK AFTERSHOCKS (Magnitude 3 to 5) -

In addition, approximately 30 to 70 SMALL AFTERSHOCKS are expected in the same 7-DAY PERIOD and may be felt locally.



http://www.ncedc.org/recenteqs/QuakeAddons/NC72282711.html

[Duer 157099]

1. I love this part from that page:

Quality : Excellent

You betcha it was excellent!!!

[still_one]

2. So let me understand this. We just had a pretty good sized shaker, and they are predicting

essentially a 50/50 chance that a strong after shock will follow in the next 7 days.

Geez, I can predict that.

Hell, I can predict there will be a 50/50 chance the the stock market will be up in the next 7 day, or down, take your pick

[NBachers]

3. I give big credit to the USGS and their up-to-the-second earthquake information.

[still_one]

4. agreed, but that is what we pay them for. They also said a 70% chance of smaller after shocks

within 7 days. Again nothing earthshaking. Hmmmmm, perhaps wrong choice of words

[pinboy3niner]

5. Less than 50 chance of a big one for SF

If it were greater than that I'd spend my last night having Irish Coffee at the Buena Vista Cafe.

[Cha]

6. Mahalo for the updates, Randy.

Take good care everybody in NorCal!